The New York Yankees have made it no secret that they wish
to get under the luxury tax threshold sooner rather than later. In today’s game
of inflated salaries, specialists and 40 man rosters the only way a team is
going to do that is if they have young and controllable players at their
disposal, something the Yankees seem to be swimming in at this point and time.
If you’re unfamiliar with the way the whole arbitration process and free agency
goes the team basically gets the player for their first two years of service at
the league minimum before the arbitration process begins. If the team and
player cannot reach an agreement on a salary for that season it goes before an
arbitrator, see the Dellin Betances mess from this past offseason, and the
salary is agreed upon that way. We have seen many teams skip the arbitration
process entirely by extending their young players early thus buying out their
arbitration years and maybe a year or two of free agency thus giving the teams
some certainty going forward while the player has some guarantee and security.
If the Yankees want to save money and get under the luxury tax threshold they
may want to look at extending one or all of these players now before they get
too expensive to.
The players that the Yankees should look at extending are
clearly obvious but I will lay them out here regardless. Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Luis Severino and
even Greg Bird despite his injury history should at least be discussed when
thinking about which players to extend sooner rather than later. All of these
players are either at or below one full year of MLB service time yet their
WAR’s suggest that the sky is the limit for each of them.
Why extend them now? Extending players now can save the
Yankees a ton of money in the long run as contracts continue to climb in terms
of value. Look at recent examples like Joey Votto, Dallas Keuchel and others
for an instance of teams that waited too long to extend players. The players
got all the bargaining power and all the bargaining chips and signed to either
huge deals or got huge amounts of money through the arbitration process. Even
Dellin Betances, although I find him to be severely underpaid personally, got a
$2.5 million raise this year through arbitration when he should have, again in
my opinion, been extended by now.
Sign these players to deals worth six-or-seven years to buy
out their arbitration and maybe a year-or-two of free agency and roll the dice.
It may be a gamble worth taking. The Yankees don’t necessarily have to do this
this year either, they could try and get under the luxury tax threshold first
and then sign these players but they run the risk of these players no longer
being cheap and earning huge contracts. The safe bet is to sign them now in my
opinion, especially before Aaron Judge attends an All-Star Game and potentially
wins a Rookie of the Year and/or MVP award in 2016.
Also, in closing, I will say that I may have over-simplified
the explanation of the arbitration process and free agency. It gets more complicated
than the Readers Digest version I laid out. You have Super Two status players
and you can manipulate service time by keeping players down in the Minor
Leagues and all that but that was more or less not the point of the post. The
point of the post was extending players now before it doesn’t make sense for
the players to sign these potentially team-friendly deals. Keep that in mind
before spamming me with hate emails and tweets. Thanks in advance.
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