This is a little painful to write, but here goes:
For the first time since 1999, the teams with the best records in
their respective leagues met in the World Series. The Boston Red Sox
defeated the St. Louis Cardinals four games to two to win their third
World Series title in 10 seasons. Both teams finished with 97 wins , but
their roads to the Fall Classic were very different.
The Cardinals were in the World Series for the second time in three
years. After surviving a tough five game series against upstart
Pittsburgh, they clinched their 19th NL pennant after disposing of the
star-studded Dodgers in six games thanks to some homegrown prospects,
including NLCS MVP and 21 year-old rookie RHP Michael Wacha.
Despite the loss, the Cards will continue to be one of the top teams
in baseball for a long time, thanks to a plethora of young aces like
Wacha, Joe Kelly, and Shelby Miller. Their bullpen is loaded with power
arms who throw close to 100 mph. They also have young studs coming up
like OF Oscar Taveras and Kolten Wong, who got some burn in the Fall
Classic.
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| The Yankees need a Michael Wacha. Badly |
Let's not forget that the Cardinals' haven't even been in position to
draft so high. Wacha was drafted with the pick they received from the
Angels when Albert Pujols left in 2012. He and Miller were selected 19th
overall in their respective drafts (2012 and 2009). Kelly was a third
rounder in 2009. Oscar Taveras was an undrafted free agent out of the
Dominican Republic as a 16 year-old in 2008.
The Red Sox, on the other hand, completed one of the most stunning
turn-arounds in sports in years, going from last place in 2012 to World
champions. After they dumped over $270 million on the Dodgers, Boston
signed scrappers like Mike Napoli, Shane Victorino, and ALCS MVP Koji
Uehara to short-term deals, and had several underachieving players have
bounce back seasons, lifting them to their best record since 2004.
Everything went right for Boston this year. They could have easily
settled for 85 wins in maybe a wild card spot, but they won the whole
darn thing. Their three top pitchers, Jon Lester, Clay Buchholz, and
John Lackey all bounced back big time this year. David Ortiz and Dustin
Pedroia managed to stay healthy. Finally, of course, all their
short-term investments came up paydirt.
So what does this have to do with the Yankees? Well, a lot. The
Yankees missed the playoffs winning just 85 games this year, as you all
know. A lot of that has to do with the injuries, but a common theme
every season for them, the age and lack of young talent, finally started
to bite them in 2013. Instead of young guys, the Yankees regularly
started has-beens and never-beens like Vernon Wells, Ichiro Suzuki, and
Chris Stewart every single day.
The Cards and Sox (dare I say it) have provided the blueprint for
greatness for the Yankees. Both teams, while having high payrolls, were
built by bright GMs with smart short-term deals and outstanding minor
league development, both of which the Yankees currently lack.
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| The Red Sox managed to strike gold with short term deals with guys like Victorino |
The surplus of pitching the Cardinals have from their own system is
absolutely ridiculous, featuring three young aces and several power arms
in their bullpen. Of course, don’t forget Oscar Taveras, a top five
prospect in baseball. The Yankees have had young arms too, but poor
development and bad luck had minimized their impact in the last several
years. Let’s just say Michael Wacha, Joe Kelly, and Shelby Miller could
end being what Joba Chamberlain, Phil Hughes, and Ian Kennedy did not
become.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox, after paying much less than they did during
their fateful shopping spree in the 2010-11 offseason. But also, they
have plenty of homegrown guys on their roster as well. Dustin Pedroia,
Jon Lester, Clay Buchholz, and Jacoby Ellsbury were Theo Epstein
products all first making their marks in their last title run in 2007.
Now, they have plenty of young talent coming up next year led by
Xander Bogaerts, who hit .296/.412/.481/.893 in 34 plate appearances in
these playoffs. He’ll likely be right at home on the Red Sox’ left side
of the infield, possibly Pedroia’s double play partner. The Yankees need
a Xander Bogaerts.
Basically, the Cardinals and Red Sox are trying to become what the
Yankees have been since 1995: a long run of success sustained by
homegrown talent from within as well as some high priced talent. The
Yankees need to find a way to get back to that.
The Yankees don’t have a Michael Wacha or a Xander Bogaerts. They
need one with Andy Pettitte, Mariano Rivera, and soon Derek Jeter gone
to retirement. There’s no youth movement coming in next year, maybe the
year or two after. That’s totally unacceptable. Like Boston and St.
Louis, the Yankees need a strong young core like in the 90s if they’re
going to get back to being legitimate World Series contenders over the
long term.
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| The Yankees can't win with old, washed up players like Vernon Wells |
If the Yankees are going to be competitive in 2014, they have no
choice but to be big spenders. Their likely targets include catcher
Brian McCann (enough of Chris Stewart already!), Jacoby Ellsbury or
Carlos Beltran (no more Ichiro and Vernon Wells! Please!), Matt Garza or
Japanese righty Masahiro Tanaka (easy upgrade over Phil Hughes!), and
of course, Robinson Cano. Cano is by far the best second baseman in the
game, and he demands big money like A-Rod or Teixeira, so the Yankees
are damned if they do sign him and damned if they don’t.
But that’s another problem in itself. Is solving the problem on the
short term again still worth it if it means they aren’t immediately
focused on rebuilding? Keep in mind what the Red Sox did this season was
nothing short of amazing. They had everything go right for them, and
the risk was minimal, since they signed several mid-range free agents to
short-term contracts.
Signing guys to long-term deals into their mid to late 30s is a huge
risk that the Yankees are willing to take on. But is it worth it?
Everything will also need to go right for them for them to win in 2014,
as it did this year for Boston. Like Lackey, Buchholz, and Lester for
Boston, the Yankees need a bounce back season for their ace CC Sabathia.
They also need whoever is left on offense to be healthy, especially
Derek Jeter and Mark Teixeira.
But hey, if the Red Sox could go from 93 losses to World Champions,
it’s not impossible for the Yankees to return to glory next year.