EDIT: This was written before news broke that Michael Pineda would indeed be having Tommy John surgery today.
It has all been decided that Yankees right-handed starter
Michael Pineda is having Tommy John surgery to repair the ulnar collateral
ligament in his right throwing elbow. It’s a huge blow to the Yankees in 2017
and an even bigger blow to Pineda who was set to hit free agency at the end of
the 2017 campaign. When you have a torn UCL and you head for a second opinion
you can generally get a second, third and fourth opinion and you usually will
still need the season-ending surgery so the sooner it gets done the sooner
Pineda can return to the mound. That’s the 2018 season at the earliest and the
Yankees cannot afford to think about 2018 or even 2019 while the team is still
in the thick of things here in 2017 so it’s time to start thinking about a
replacement. How about Sonny Gray?
Now I know I have been wishy-washy on Gray in the past and I
know I have been quick to point out his injury history and inconsistencies over
the past few seasons but that was before Pineda was lost for the season with
the ulnar collateral ligament tear. This changes everything. Well, it doesn’t
change everything. Let me explain.
The Yankees still shouldn’t and still shouldn’t have to part
with top prospects like Gleyber Torres, Clint Frazier and Justus Sheffield for
Gray. I wouldn’t give the Oakland Athletics Chance Adams for Gray either, not
with Adams so close to the Major Leagues. Who would I give up for Gray you ask?
I’d give the Athletics their choice of prospects, maybe three or four, and I
would include Jake Cave, Jorge Mateo, Billy McKinney, Domingo Acevedo, Jorge
Guzman, Albert Abreu, Domingo German, Tyler Wade and many of the prospects in
Double-A or below along with Luis Cessa who isn’t technically a prospect
anymore.
Would this be enough? I’m not sure, only Brian Cashman knows
that at this point. It is encouraging that Cashman seemingly and openly has a
good working relationship with the A’s general manager as well as Billy Beane
so anything is possible. The Athletics have not been shy about trading starting
pitching at the deadline, see Rich Hill and Scott Kazmir as recent examples of
this, so there’s no reason to believe the team won’t do so again this July. Whether
the Yankees be willing to pony up the prospects for Gray who not only protects
the team in 2017 but beyond 2017 as well, something Michael Pineda sis not, is
anyone’s guess. I guess you’ll just have to stay tuned to find out.