Thursday, October 27, 2022

Undies' 2022/2023 Offseason Plan

It's time for my annual "What I want to happen but won't and probably shouldn't" offseason plan. While the chances of these things happening may be slim to none, or otherwise obvious, it still helps me know where the team is at and where they need to improve.


To get this thing started I thought I’d address a few free agents, whose names have been mentioned as good fits for the New York Yankees…


I thought about Nolan Arenado for next year's squad, but I see no way the Cardinals let him get away (assuming he opts out, of course). St. Louis has about $30 million coming off the books next season and actually had a Luxury Tax payroll in 2022 about $25 million lower than in 2021. Furthermore, from what I've read, Arenado and the Cardinals like one another. So while I could look at ways to fit what could be a $30 million salary into things for next season, I really don't see the point of it.


I also took a look at Trea Turner, but I just didn't like the idea of handing a soon-to-be 30-year-old a ten-year contract. I wouldn't really be that upset if the Yankees signed him, as he'd be a pleasure to watch in pinstripes for most of that contract, but the length and AAV (I've read as high as $34 million) have me thinking twice.


And then there's Carlos Correa. I've been reading that he could be looking at an 8-year deal, which would mean he's on the team through his age-35 season, and that's more palatable than Turner. Yet, the Yankees could've signed a shortstop to a big contract last year and didn't, and they still have Peraza and Volpe around and looking good, which seemed to be the reason they passed on all those shortstops in the first place. It was hard enough writing this paragraph knowing I'd likely be disappointed, so to try and maintain some sanity I can't put Correa in my active roster for 2023 even though I'd like to. 


Now, without any adieu whatsoever, here we go (and I refuse to use the overused Joker gif)... 



The Yankees have a handful of guys that are now free agents, so I'm going to go over the ones I don't want returning...


Aroldis Chapman

Do I really need to explain this one? The only possible reason I could see the Yankees wanting to bring him back would be if they were desperate in the bullpen, but especially with Mike King returning they're not. 


Zack Britton

If he'd returned hot, which wasn't really expected, things would be different. But with the bullpen already shaping up I see no reason to bring Zack back. 


Jameson Taillon

When I started thinking about the offseason the idea of bringing back Taillon came to mind. However, with Cole, Cortes, Montas, and Severino (more on him later), along with other starting possibilities, I'm saying "bye".


Chad Green

I like the guy, and I would have thought hard about bringing him back but there's that whole Tommy John Surgery thing. 


Miguel Castro

I wouldn't be distraught if he were brought back, but I don't see a spot for him. Besides, he walks too many batters for my taste. I hate it when relievers walk batters.


Marwin Gonzalez

Nope. Years ago I wanted the Yankees to sign Marwin, but that feeling is long gone. His best trait is his defensive versatility, but that's not enough for me to want to see him back in pinstripes. 



So let's see where the Yankees should start spending some money...


Aaron Judge - 8 years $304 million


First of all, Aaron was bad this postseason. I don't need to post the stats, as seeing the Yankees eliminated by the Astros again hurt enough. But I just can't imagine not re-signing this guy. Yes, the end of that contract is going to hurt. Yes, Judge hasn't done well in the postseason in the last three years. But, to be honest, I don't see anyone that's a free agent or would be available in a trade, that I think makes a good replacement (and I mean in the lineup, not necessarily in right field). 


I'm a bit concerned about signing anybody for that much money into their late 30s, but Aaron is an entirely different monster. He's probably not going to bat above .300 every season, but based on the last couple of years I think it's safe to say his batting average is going to land between .285 and .300 regularly. And it's not like this is the first season he's led the league in walks, which will also help him maintain an OBP that pushes .400 year in and year out. Now, I don't expect Judge to hit 62 home runs a year, helping lead to a slugging percentage around .686 each year, but 50+ bombs a year is hardly a pipe dream. Put that all together and you have a guy that could at least get some MVP votes every season.


Then you have his defense, which is not only pretty darn good in right field, but good enough to take over centerfield for a big chunk of the season.


Oh, and have I mentioned how loved he is in New York?


I don't see how you can let Aaron Judge ever wear anything but a Yankees uniform.


Anthony Rizzo - 2 years $34 million


Chances are he opts out, but I think the Yankees need to get this guy back in pinstripes.


I can't count how many times Anthony has bailed out his infielders thanks to errant throws, not to mention how many base hits he took away on balls hit in his direction. Can you imagine if we still had Luke Voit or another average-to-poor defender at first base? I shudder at the thought, and that alone makes me want him back.


What makes him more attractive are those 32 home runs he hit from the left side. The Yankees have done a good job at taking advantage of the 81 games they play at Yankee Stadium, and a guy like Rizzo is a very good way to keep that up.


Finally, the guy's been a Yankee for a year and a half, yet teammates look up to and can learn from him. Outside of Aaron Judge, he may be the leader of that clubhouse.


Andrew Benintendi - 3 years $54 million (possible option for a 4th year)


The one part of the Yankees lineup that's bothered me is the fact they don't have a good option to bat lead-off. While I understood batting Judge at the #1 spot in order to guarantee that their best hitter got the most at-bats every game, we missed out on a lot of runs as 41 of Aaron's home runs and 15 of his doubles came with the bases empty. So it's imperative that we try to make sure someone is on base when Judge comes to bat, and that's where Benintendi comes in.


Last season in Kansas City Andrew was hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .373. Mind you, both of those numbers were well above his norms (.279 and .351), but I believe Benny should be our lead-off hitter on Opening Day 2023. 


Other than being a good contact hitter (81.5% contact percentage last season, 33rd in MLB out of 130 batters), which is something the Yankees could really use (they were 21st in MLB in Contact %), Benintendi provides good left field defense that would play next to Bader's elite glove in center.


Exercise club option on Luis Severino for $15 million


In terms of ERA+ Luis was the second-best starter on the team last year (Cortes was #1), and the only thing that kept his Fangraphs Dollar Value from being well above that $15 million number was being limited to only 102 innings in 19 starts. If Sevy is let loose next season or gets close to the 190+ innings he threw in both 2017 and 2018 (before the injury bug bit him really hard), he'll be worth a heck of a lot more than $15 million, making his option a no-brainer to pick up.



We all know the Yankees need to make some big changes, and so far I haven't shown you guys anything. I've actually advocated for bringing back three guys that were on last year's team. So let's do some house cleaning...


1. Gleyber Torres, Josh Donaldson, Trystan Vrieling, & $12.5 million to Washington for Hunter Harvey & Zach Brzykcy


The Nationals got the least production from their second and third basemen in the entire National League last season. The man that played the most at third base (Maikel Franco), as well as the man with the next most time there (Ehire Adrianza), are free agents. Their starting second baseman, Cesar Hernandez, is also a free agent. 


Washington's farm system is middle of the road which tells me it may be hard for them to pull off a trade to acquire a good third baseman, let alone two decent infielders. Their payroll is middle of the road as well, so they're unlikely to spend to fill both spots. So getting an elite defensive third baseman that has some upside in his bat, with only one year remaining on his contract, along with an arbitration-eligible second baseman that can hit 20+ home runs is likely quite an attractive package to GM Mike Rizzo.


Throw in some money to help pay Donaldson, as well as a solid prospect, and the Nationals should be happy with their return in a trade. 


Let me say that I don't hate Torres, nor do I necessarily want him gone, but he is another guy that offers little with the bat outside of the occasional homer. His whiff, strikeout, and walk rates are sub-par to bad. And with Cabrera, Peraza, and soon Volpe to go along with a returning (in my plan) Rizzo and LeMahieu, room has to be made in the infield. 


Hunter Harvey has a good fastball (97th percentile per Baseball Savant), and started throwing a splitter in 2021 that got better this past season, which hopefully is the reason his home run rate dropped so low (0.6 HR/9) so it wasn't just an anomaly. If he can continue making that splitter more effective then I can see him being a strong reliever, which could be big for helping keep our pitchers fresh for later in the season. The other pitcher the Yankees would get here, Zach Brzykcy, is a 23-year-old that made his AAA debut this past season. I think that was a bit of an aggressive move as Zach started the year throwing 21.2 innings in high-A ball, then 38 innings in AA, before tossing his last 1.2 innings of 2022 in AAA. He's a high strikeout pitcher (13.9 K/9 between all the levels), and if he can lower his walks a bit (4.3 BB/9) he could see MLB action as early as the upcoming season. 


I believe only having to pay Josh Donaldson $12.5 million makes him worth something, even if it's mainly for his defense (Fangraphs Dollar Value was $12.9 million). 


2. Kyle Higashioka to Arizona for Yu Min-Lin and Andy Yerzy


Boy, did Higgy fool us in Spring Training or what? With a good glove and what looked to be some power from his bat we possibly had a sure-fire starting catcher on our hands, but it didn't take long for that idea to fizzle away. With regular playing time, I could see his bat being okay, or at least not a total dead spot in the lineup, and his glove is still pretty nice and should garner some interest.


One of the teams interested should be the Diamondbacks, who were 11th in the National League and 25th overall in productivity from behind the plate. What makes them an ideal trade partner is that they have a very good farm system that's ranked in the top 5 of most lists. Of course, the Yankees can't expect anything eye-popping in return, but someone stuck out to me...


Yu-Min Lin, who was signed to a minor-league deal as a free agent last year, is only 19 years old and posted some impressive strikeout numbers in rookie and A-ball. Of course, yes... it was a ways away from Major League Baseball, but at his age, it's pretty cool that he can throw in the lower 90s while also having a slider, curveball, changeup, and splitter. 


There isn't anything impressive about Andy Yerzy, as he's a catcher/first baseman that was drafted in the second round of the 2016 draft. At one point he looked like a nice catching prospect for the D-Backs, but he struggled in 2019, skipped 2020, had an okay season in 2021, and wasn't anything special in AA this past season. His future may very well be at first base, as that's where he spent most of his time in 2022, so I don't expect Andy to be anything more than minor league filler.


3. Aaron Hicks, Lou Trivino, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, & $10 million ($3.33 million for each season left on Hicks' contract) to Los Angeles (AL) for Aaron Loup & David Fletcher


According to Fangraphs Hicks was worth $11.6m and IKF $10.7m, so there's value to a team beyond the salaries of those two. The downside is the two extra seasons Hicks is under contract after 2023, which is why I'm taking back one of their contracts with the same number of years remaining. 


Trivino did a great job for us, and I wouldn't be sad one bit if he returned to the Yankees next season, but outside of a good fastball that leads to a solid strikeout rate and whiff percentage he gets hit fairly hard. So I like the idea of using him to help unload Hicks and IKF. 


Aaron Hicks can help by doing more than playing LF regularly (Brandon Marsh is no longer in LA and Jo Adell is not good), if the Angels do trade Ohtani he could allow Mike Trout to rest his legs more often as the DH (Even if they don't trade Shohei soon, Trout could DH more after 2023). 


Kiner-Falefa could give LAA a utility infielder that isn't under contract beyond next season, or play him regularly at 2B over Luis Rengifo. 


Aaron Loup's strikeout rate went down while his walk rate went up a bit in 2022, possibly due to using his changeup more and his slider less (he has a better slider than changeup). I actually had Aaron on my radar last offseason, as he crushed it with the Mets in 2021. He will become the highest paid reliever for the Yankees next season, but about $8 million less than Chapman was in 2022. Plus, he gives our manager another left-handed option in the bullpen. 


Remember that contract with three years remaining that I'm taking back? That's David Fletcher. Fletcher has not done much since signing that deal with the Angels after his nice season in 2020. His glove isn't great, but good enough if he's needed at short or second. If he's ever needed for an extended period of time I fully expect the Yankees to look at other options, though. But at less than $6 million a year, it's cool. 



So there you go, my offseason plans. Will they all happen? No way. Will some happen? I'm sure of it. But I had a lot of fun putting this together, and I hope you had fun reading it. I want to note that the lineup I put together has only two guys that are expected to have a strikeout rate above 20% (Stanton and Judge). Meanwhile, the Opening Day lineup for 2022 had five guys in it with that high of a strikeout percentage (Stanton, Judge, Gallo, Hicks, and Donaldson) while another one didn't start on Opening Day but was a regular (Torres). 


I'm sure many of you are wondering what's up with Anthony Volpe. Well, Volpe only played 22 games for AAA Scranton and wasn't that impressive. Actually, he wasn't that great in AA, either. I'd like to see him get more development time in the minors, and I certainly don't want him spending time on the bench. So leave him in Scranton to start the 2023 season, and we can reevaluate things in June.


Basically, the roster I've come up with has a lot of addition by subtraction built into it. The fact of the matter is last year's team was really good at run prevention, and they could score as well, but the problem was inconsistency. I can't say for sure this team will be more consistent, so it was important to leave enough money for significant mid-season upgrades should they be necessary, and I've certainly done that. 


I also like this plan because the Yankees hold onto their top prospects. In fact, the only prospect I'm trading is #15 Trystan Vrieling, and in the Higashioka trade, we're getting back Arizona's #15 prospect (Yu-Min Lin) who has a higher ceiling. So I've probably IMPROVED the farm system. 


One final thing before showing my active roster... arbitration estimates are provided by MLB Trade Rumors. Miscellaneous salary information, except for Josh Donaldson and Aaron Hicks, is provided by Cot's Baseball Contracts.


LF Andrew Benintendi* ($18m)

RF Aaron Judge ($38m)

1B Anthony Rizzo* ($17)

DH Giancarlo Stanton ($25m)

3B DJ LeMahieu ($15m)

CF Harrison Bader ($5.2m)

2B Oswaldo Cabrera# ($.75m)

SS Oswald Peraza ($.75m)

C Jose Trevino ($2m-A1)


BE Ben Rortvedt* - C ($.75m)

BE David Fletcher - MI ($5.833m)

BE Estevan Florial* - OF ($.75m)

BE Ryan LaMarre - OF ($.75m)


SP1 Gerrit Cole ($36m)

SP2 Nestor Cortes* ($3.5m-A1)

SP3 Luis Severino ($15m)

SP4 Frankie Montas ($7.7m-A3)

SP5 Domingo German ($2.6-A2)


RP Jonathan Loaisiga ($2.1m-A2)

RP Clay Holmes ($2.9m-A2)

RP Wandy Peralta* ($3.1m-A4)

RP Ron Marinaccio ($.75m)

RP Mike King ($1.2m-A1)

RP Lucas Luetge* ($1.7m-A2)

RP Hunter Harvey ($1m-A1)

RP Aaron Loup* ($8.5m)


MISCELLANEOUS SALARY INFORMATION

Money from Miami for Giancarlo Stanton: -$3 million

Paid to Washington for Josh Donaldson: $12.5 million

Paid to Los Angeles (AL) for Aaron Hicks: $3.33 million

Player Benefits: $16.5 million

40-Man Players in Minors: $2.25 million

0-3 yr bonus pool: $1.667 million


TEAM PAYROLL

$248.83 million ($259.31 million in 2021)



Nope, I'm not going to go along with cheap-ass Hal. Sure, I'm not going to go nuts and put a plan out there that's totally outside of reality, but I'm not going to put my name on something that is half-assed, either. 


I'm not going to sign Andrew Benintendi. I like the guy for all the reasons I mentioned earlier in this article, but I'd much rather have Carlos Correa on this team. Carlos brings a very good batting average, good on-base percentage, and plenty of postseason experience... including 20 games played in the World Series. So I'm giving Correa an 8-year contract worth $240 million. Now that would bring the total years and money below what Seager got last offseason from Texas, so a 9th year may be necessary, and since that takes him only through his age 36 season I'm not against going there. 


I discussed Trea Turner and Nolan Arenado earlier, but there's one more big bat I should touch on here... Brandon Nimmo. 


Nimmo's batting line the last couple of years, very good defense, and ability to run well, make him very attractive. Not to mention his left-handed bat. But I just can't ignore that he will turn 30 in late March next year, missed quite a bit of time in 2019 with a bulging disc in his neck, and missed a total of about two months in 2021 with hand and hamstring issues. While his next contract may only take him as far as his age 35 season, I'll take Correa through his age 35 or 36 season instead. 


The real decision was deciding between Benintendi or Rizzo, as I don't see both of them fitting into the team payroll. I'm kidding, it wasn't a hard decision, as I'm not only a big fan of Rizzo but the guy has become so beloved in New York (by both fans and teammates) in such a short amount of time. The left-handed power and great defense, along with a shorter contract, also help. 


This also puts the Yankees in a tough, but very nice, position as they'll have three good to great middle infield youngsters in Cabrera (who can actually play anywhere, hence his position in the below lineup), Peraza, and Volpe. So they could turn one of them into that starter of the future.


3B DJ LeMahieu ($15m)

RF Aaron Judge ($38m)

SS Carlos Correa ($30m)

DH Giancarlo Stanton ($25m)

1B Anthony Rizzo* ($17m)

CF Harrison Bader ($5.2m)

LF Oswaldo Cabrera# ($.75m)

2B Oswald Peraza ($.75m)

C Jose Trevino ($2m-A1)


BE Ben Rortvedt* - C ($.75m)

BE David Fletcher - MI ($5.833m)

BE Estevan Florial* - OF ($.75m)

BE Ryan LaMarre - OF ($.75m)


SP1 Gerrit Cole ($36m)

SP2 Nestor Cortes* ($3.5m-A1)

SP3 Luis Severino ($15m)

SP4 Frankie Montas ($7.7m-A3)

SP5 Domingo German ($2.6-A2)


RP Jonathan Loaisiga ($2.1m-A2)

RP Clay Holmes ($2.9m-A2)

RP Wandy Peralta* ($3.1m-A4)

RP Ron Marinaccio ($.75m)

RP Mike King ($1.2m-A1)

RP Lucas Luetge* ($1.7m-A2)

RP Hunter Harvey ($1m-A1)

RP Aaron Loup* ($8.5m)


MISCELLANEOUS SALARY INFORMATION

Money from Miami for Giancarlo Stanton: -$3 million

Paid to Washington for Josh Donaldson: $12.5 million

Paid to Los Angeles (AL) for Aaron Hicks: $3.33 million

Player Benefits: $16.5 million

40-Man Players in Minors: $2.25 million

0-3 yr bonus pool: $1.667 million


TEAM PAYROLL

$261.08 million ($259.31 million in 2021)


Shut up, Hal, and just write the damn checks!

If Hal or anyone else has something to say about this then comment or hit me up on Twitter (@Bryan_TGP). Thanks for reading, and regardless of Hal, Cashman, or Boone's incompetence... GO YANKEES!

Saturday, October 22, 2022

The Rise of Champions...

 

Giancarlo Stanton & Aaron Judge (Photo Credit: John Minchillo/AP)

Can the Yankees overcome the challenges ahead?...

The ALCS continues today in New York with the Yankees searching for answers. The Houston Astros hold the game…and psychological…advantage over the Yankees, up two games to none. Manager Aaron Boone may not believe Game 3 is a “must-win” game, but it is. Even if the Yankees win two of three at Yankee Stadium, the Astros will return home for Game 6, a game away from a World Series berth, and into an environment the Yankees have not been able to conquer. If the Yankees can win all three at home, and take the advantage into Houston, it could be the accelerant for vanquishing the demons in Minute Maid Park.

Although it is never over until it is, I do not believe the Yankees can overcome a ‘three games to none’ disadvantage. These are not the 2004 Boston Red Sox. Thirty strikeouts in two games are a sign of excellent Astros pitching, poor Yankees hitting, or a combination of both. If the Yankees cannot hit, they cannot win.

I keep seeing fans plea for the firings of Aaron Boone and Brian Cashman. In the middle of the American League Championship Series? The time for any evaluations of leadership and coaching is after the season, not amid a heated playoff battle. I am not trying to defend Boone or Cashman, but now is not the time to call for their heads. Boone needs our support. Anything else is counterproductive. Yankee fans everywhere should be united in our support of the team.

Although I expect to see Isiah Kiner-Falefa as today’s starting shortstop, I personally would stay with Oswald Peraza and his superior glove. I wish Boone had played Peraza more in the waning days of the regular season to help build his confidence at the Major League level. The talent is there, he just needs to experience success to build the mental aspect of his game. Repeatedly, Peraza produced big hits in Triple A. No doubt his bat will reach that level in The Show, but it takes time. There may not be sufficient time in the remaining ALCS games, but his glove is championship-quality. In a series differentiated by so few runs (Astros have only scored three combined runs more than the Yankees in two games), every error weighs heavily. If there is no time for Peraza’s bat to come around, there is even less time or tolerance for IKF blunders in the field. Peraza’s bat has greater potential than IKF so there is always a chance he comes through in key situations.


Oswald Peraza (Photo Credit: Eric Gay/AP)

I was afraid that Matt Carpenter would have too much rust after his long layoff with the broken foot. He is 0-for-5 with 5 strikeouts, yet fans continue to call for his placement in the starting lineup based on his regular season success. I am doubtful he can recapture the Matty Moustache Magic, and he should not be starting. If he can get a few pinch hits, then reevaluate. Until then, he should be on the bench.

For all the great moves GM Brian Cashman has made, Josh Donaldson will forever be a major faux pas. His ability to play solid defense at third has been Donaldson’s only redeeming quality. He is an unlikeable guy that can no longer hit and is a major liability at the plate. Owed $21 million for next year, with an $8 million buyout in 2024, it will be a near impossibility for Cashman to offload his mistake without parting with other young valuable prospects to make it happen. I have said all season that Gary Sanchez was addition by subtraction, but the cost to take Donaldson in a trade was not worth it. The Yankees should have simply non-tendered Sanchez and sent him on his merry way. They would still have Gio Urshela, who is good defensively (albeit not as good as Donaldson). At the end of the season with the Twins, Urshela was continuing his reputation as a timely hitter…something the Yankees could certainly use. Minnesota, after watching Sanchez play in his walk year, reportedly have no plans to re-sign him. The Yankees should have similarly just walked away from him. I know the Yankees expected more from catcher Ben Rortvedt, but again, not worth the cost of taking on Donaldson’s contract. Cashman gambled that Donaldson was not washed up, and he lost. Win some, lose some. Not one of Cashman’s finer moves, but hopefully he will find a way to eliminate Donaldson from the roster in the upcoming offseason. Until then, we can only hope Donaldson finds a way to be effective. Dude, time is not for your friend. A contribution to a win today would be much appreciated.


Josh Donaldson (Photo Credit: Getty Images)

I was listening to The Michael Kay Show on Friday and a fan suggested the Yankees play IKF at third base over Donaldson (admittedly, something I have considered), but Michael tore the caller apart. I get Michael’s position. Donaldson is a former MVP and right or wrong, the Yankees have entrusted third base to him this year. Aaron Boone continues to defend the player, and they believe he has value. IKF is not a starter, he is a guy who should be playing an infield super-utility role. The truth is the Yankees do not have a third base option better than Donaldson. That would have only been possible had DJ LeMahieu been healthy and on the active ALCS roster.

If the Yankees lose the ALCS, ultimately the biggest factor will be the injuries. The team would have looked so much better with Andrew Benintendi in left field, DJ LeMahieu roving around the infield, Michael King representing the best stopper the Yankees have had in years, and a bullpen with the likes of Ron Marinaccio, Scott Effross, and Zack Britton. Chad Green seems like such a long-ago memory, but if not for his injury and Tommy John surgery, he could have helped even if his production had been trending in the wrong direction over the last few seasons. But in the end, the sole cause for loss cannot be placed on the injuries. Those are the times for others to stand up. Houston has deftly filled the void of losing one of their better outfielders, Michael Brantley. This is not about the need for Aaron Boone to manage better, it is more about the players simply playing better.

Not giving up hope. If the Yankees win today, they can win tomorrow. One game at a time. As Yogi Berra says, “It ain’t over ‘til it’s over.”

The Texas Rangers failed with their attempt to spend a half-billion dollars in shore up their middle infield in 2022 with the free agent signings of Corey Seager and Marcus Semien. Credit to them for the stunning announcement yesterday that they have hired proven World Series manager Bruce Bochy to a three-year contract. I thought San Diego’s acquisition of Bob Melvin as their manager last offseason was the best managerial move, and Bochy stands as this offseason’s best even if the offseason has not even started yet. A good hire by the Rangers.


Bruce Bochy (Photo Credit: Jeff Chiu/AP)

A little strange to see a former Dodgers great managed by a Giants great but no doubt Seager is feeling a sense of excitement about his team’s future. I wonder if this will be the offseason that Dallas native Clayton Kershaw finally decides to come home to play. I have always felt he should be a Dodger to the end, but Kersh’s powerful sense of family and his North Texas home set the stage for his triumphant Lone Star State return.


Clayton Kershaw (Photo Credit: Harry How/Getty Images)

If the Rangers sign Kershaw and trade for Arizona’s Madison Bumgarner (who has Bochy’s trust), it would be truly wild to see those guys on the same team.

The Braves-less and Dodgers-less NLCS is now advantage Philadelphia. After last night’s 4-2 win over the San Diego Padres, the Phillies are up two games to one. They play Game 4 tonight in Citizens Bank Park with a chance to take a commanding series lead. Although I have never been a fan of the Phillies, I am enjoying the success of Manager Rob Thomson. After years in the Yankees organization, Thomson should have been given greater consideration when Joe Girardi was not rehired. The Yankees, as we know, chose Aaron Boone since, in Cashman’s words at the time, he checked all the boxes. I think Thomson has shown he is more than just checked boxes. Unlike the Yankees, the Phillies made the right call to replace Girardi with Thomson. It helps to have a superstar like Bryce Harper on your team, but I am pulling for the Phillies to win the NLCS and advance to the World Series. If they play the Astros, I will be pulling for Philadelphia to capture its first World Series championship since 2008.

If Joe Girardi wants to manage another team, the Phillies’ success after he was fired cannot be good for one’s resume.

The Toronto Blue Jays removed the “interim” tag from Manager John Schneider’s title with a new three-year contract. Good for him. He did help the Blue Jays after the firing of former Manager Charlie Montoyo even if they faltered at the end (the memories of Vladdy Jr’s failed ‘This is our house!’ mantra still fresh on my mind). The Blue Jays have a strong, young core, and they will enter the 2023 season as a strong contender. Schneider joins Rob Thomson and Phil Nevin as interim managers who successfully auditioned for permanent roles with their respective teams. I think Nevin’s choice had more to do with the potential sale of the Los Angeles Angels than the Angels’ long-term desire to have Nevin lead them, but he will be the field general next season for the Halos.

Former Yankees and current Astros coach Joe Espada continues to interview for managerial openings. I do not know if it is true, but it feels like he has interviewed for more managerial jobs than anyone over the last several years. He deserves the opportunity. I saw that he had interviewed for the job with the Chicago White Sox, who are also reportedly considering former Manager Ozzie Guillen to replace the retired Tony LaRussa. I think the White Sox would be wise to choose Espada over Guillen. Espada has also talked with GM Kim Ng and the Miami Marlins, another good fit. I really hope he lands either the Chicago or Miami job. It seems like the White Sox roster has the greater potential. Either way, it is his time to lead.

As always, Go Yankees!

Saturday, October 15, 2022

Headed to Cleveland in Search of Wins...

 

Aaron Boone / Photo Credit: Seth Wenig, AP

Momentum favors the Game 3 Winner…

And then they were tied… So much for home field advantage. The New York Yankees lost ALDS Game 2, disappointingly and with way too many men left on base (eleven), as the Cleveland Guardians tied the series at one game apiece with the 4-2 victory.

Whether you believe bringing Jameson Taillon into the game in the tenth inning was right or wrong, he was not the reason the Yankees lost the game. I really thought the stage was set in the eighth inning when Giancarlo Stanton walked, and the Yankees inserted Tim Locastro to run for Stanton. A stolen base by Locastro, and subsequent walks of Josh Donaldson and Isiah Kiner-Falefa sandwiched around a strikeout by Oswaldo Cabrera had the bases loaded with two outs. Kyle Higashioka had the opportunity to be the star of the show (really wanted Spring Training Higgy in that moment), but he lined out to end the threat.

I get the decision to pull Stanton for the speedy Locastro in that situation, but Manager Aaron Boone’s decision to allow Locastro to bat against Guardians closer Emmanuel Clase in the bottom of the tenth, trailing by two runs, was a bonehead move. As much as I have been down on Aaron Hicks, this was the time I would have preferred Hicks to take the swings against Clase. Not one of Boone’s finer moments. It felt like a ‘tossing in the towel’ moment.

Oh well, the Yankees need to regroup quickly for Game 3 in Cleveland later today. The Yankees need to win at least one of the two games in Cleveland to get the series back to Yankee Stadium for a potential Game 5, but I would prefer a sweep in Cleveland to end it there. A sweep by the Yankees, not the Guardians, as if I needed to say that.

Friday was not a good day for any of the favorites. Both NL’s remaining 100+ win teams lost. The defending champions, the Atlanta Braves, were hammered by newly named permanent manager Rob Thomson’s Philadelphia Phillies, 9-1, and the Los Angeles Dodgers (who won 110 games in the regular season) lost a close one to the San Diego Padres, 2-1. Their circumstances are more dire than the Yankees as both of those teams trail their respective series, two games to one. The Phillies and Padres could advance to the NLCS today with victories. For the Dodgers, it would be 110 wins and all they got was this lousy t-shirt.



Hopefully, the Yankees can win today so they do not have their proverbial backs to the wall. Luis Severino is on the mound, but he will face Cleveland’s outstanding young Triston McKenzie. It does not seem like there will be very many runs scored today. If the Yankees can cross the plate more times than the Guardians, all will be good in the Yankees Universe. A loss will most certainly send anxiety through the fanbase.

The booing of Aaron Judge does not help. I realize some fans may be frustrated with Aaron Judge. Seven strikeouts in eight plate appearances can lead to nicknames like Mr. May, but after Judge’s season, he deserves the benefit of the doubt. I would rather take my chances with than without Judge. If anything, Judge needs our support and our belief that he can produce when the stakes are the highest. The boos at Yankee Stadium and the rips on social media serve no purpose. If you want to create an environment where Judge feels he might be better appreciated in other markets and fan bases, keep it up. We need Judge today, tomorrow, and next year.


Aaron Judge / Photo Credit: Frank Franklin II, AP

As for Judge’s pending free agency, Jon Heyman of The New York Post polled four agents this week, and they predicted Judge’s next contract will be:

  • $350 million, $400 million maximum.
  • $315 million to $360 million.
  • Eight x $37.5 million for $300 million.
  • $300 million ($277 million with deferrals).

I do think the contract will be north of $300 million but the question will be how high the Yankees will go. I cannot say I am overly confident the Yankees will retain Judge. They need him, he needs the Yankees, and I do believe that his legacy would be the strongest by staying in Pinstripes. Somehow, the thought of Judge playing in San Francisco with games playing when most of the East Coast is headed for bed will leave him as an afterthought in the minds of many. Judge’s value to the Yankees cannot be underestimated. I hope the Yankees ensure he remains a Yankee and he becomes the next Captain. The NFL has the franchise tag they can place on pending free agent superstars. The MLB may not have one, but it is clear Aaron Judge is the franchise player for the current New York Yankees and deserves to be paid like it. I am excited about the Yankees playing October baseball, but it is hard to deny the sickening feeling that these may be Judge’s final days wearing baseball’s greatest uniform.

Hal, pay the man.

Better news on the injured front. It is premature to think about the ALCS since the Yankees need to win the ALDS first, but it was promising to hear Aaron Boone say Andrew Benintendi, Frankie Montas and Ron Marinaccio will be working out in Tampa under live game conditions to prepare their potential readiness for the next round.

A healthy, producing Benintendi may have been the difference-maker in yesterday’s game. Watching Matt Carpenter strike out in his pinch-hit appearance yesterday shows that return does not always result in immediate success, but I am hopeful Benny can help next round if the Yankees make it. I know Oswaldo Cabrera has done a superb job, but I would rather see the Yankees re-sign Benintendi to play left field next season and use Cabrera in the super-utility role. But I digress, I think Benny can help this year if he is given the opportunity.


Andrew Benintendi / Photo Credit: Sarah Stier, Getty Images

I am indifferent about Montas. He will not start, and I am not certain how effective he can be as a reliever. He seems like a ‘better luck next year’ candidate.

The Yankees need a healthy Marinaccio. Using starters in unfamiliar relief roles underscores the current state of the Yankees pen. Getting back one of their best relievers would be huge for the Yankees in the next round…if they make it.

Hall of Fame Closer passes away. I was saddened to hear the news of Bruce Sutter’s passing yesterday, While Sutter, 69, is probably best remembered for helping the St Louis Cardinals win the World Series forty years ago, I will always think of him as a Chicago Cub. Growing up in the Midwest in the 70’s meant watching a lot of Cubs games on TV, and Sutter stood out with his split-fingered fastballs.


Bruce Sutter

MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred issued the following statement: “I am deeply saddened by the news of the passing of Bruce Sutter, whose career was an incredible baseball success story. Bruce ascended from being a nondrafted free agent to the heights of baseball by pioneering the split-fingered fastball. The pitch not only led him to the Major Leagues, but also made him a Cy Young Award winner with the Cubs and a World Series champion with the 1982 Cardinals. …Bruce will be remembered as one of the best pitchers in the histories of two of our most historic franchises. On behalf of Major League Baseball, I extend my condolences to Bruce’s family, his friends and his fans in Chicago, St. Louis, and Atlanta and throughout our game.”

Sutter always makes me think of the late Bobby Murcer since both were my favorite Cubs on those late 1970s teams. Not sure why I was never a Cubs or Cardinals fan, but the pull of the Yankee Pinstripes was too strong. Nevertheless, Sutter’s loss hurts. May he rest in peace.

The end of Aroldis Chapman’s Yankees career. Good riddance. I cannot say that I have ever seen a player bail on his teammates like Chapman did when he missed a mandatory workout prior to the start of the ALDS and the announcement of the team’s roster for the series. I was ready for the Yankees to designate Chapman for assignment in September as I had lost any trust or confidence in him despite some sporadic success. However, his behavior prior to the ALDS was inexcusable and unacceptable. Just when you thought Chapman could not set the bar lower, he does.

Aroldis Chapman

The Yankees took a chance on Chapman when other teams, including the Los Angeles Dodgers, would not. Despite their efforts, Chapman bailed on the Yankees because his feelings were hurt over the possibility of being left off the ALDS roster. In a way, I am glad Chapman made the decision easy for the Yankees. While there is a chance that he could be activated for the ALCS…if they make it…I hope not. I am done with Chapman and look forward to the end of his Yankees contract soon.

Scott Effross, we hardly knew ye. Unlike Chapman, I was saddened to learn Scott Effross would not make the ALDS roster but was stunned by the further news he needs Tommy John surgery. A torn ulnar collateral ligament most likely means that we will not see Effross on the mound again until 2024. He is under Yankees control until 2028 so it is not like we will never see him in Pinstripes again, but this is a sad way to lose Effross for the near future. Here is hoping for a quick and successful return to good health for Effross and his arm.


Scott Effross

I wonder if this means the end for Chad Green. He is scheduled to become a free agent at the end of the year. The Yankees historically do not wait around for Tommy John recipients on expiring contracts. Nathan Eovaldi and Michael Pineda stand out as recent examples. Someone will sign Green to a two-year minor league contract to allow time for recovery. Maybe it is the Yankees, maybe it is not. The Yankees cannot tie up multiple 40-man roster spots for guys out for extended periods.

As always, Go Yankees!

 

“We play today, we win today, das it…”

--Former Yankees second baseman Mariano Duncan

Saturday, October 8, 2022

Aaron Judge, MVP...

 

Aaron Judge / Photo Credit: LM Otero, AP

Judge homers his way to the record books…

It has been a few days, but I would like to express my gratitude that Aaron Judge was able to hit his 62nd home run in the regular season’s final series in Texas. Admittedly, I had begun to have thoughts Judge would conclude the 2022 season in a tie with Roger Maris for the American League and Yankees franchise home run record. It has been an incredible season for Judge, and the ultimate ‘betting on yourself’ event we have witnessed in Sports in recent memory.

There is sadness Judge will be free to sign with any team in a few weeks. Like Derek Jeter, Judge’s best legacy is to remain in Pinstripes as the team’s next Captain. The thought of him in Boston, Queens or San Francisco is horrific. Hopefully, the Yankees can reach an agreement on a contract with Judge shortly after the season and bring back the team’s best player for the 2023 season and beyond.

I do not understand those who bash Judge and try to belittle his accomplishments by trying to empathize that his home run total fell short of the MLB mark by eleven home runs. I personally never took the approach that Judge’s total represented MLB’s best. I recognize Barry Bonds as the MLB single season record holder with 73 home runs. Or that Mark McGwire held the mark before him, and Sammy Sosa had a few dinger seasons in the sixties. The difference and great distinction about Judge’s accomplishments is that he did it cleanly, without the assistance of performance-enhancing drugs. The home runs by Bonds, McGwire, and Sosa will always be tainted by their involvement with steroids. I would have liked to have seen what Bonds could have accomplished without the drug-induced assistance. In his younger days, I always marveled at his tremendous hand/eye coordination, and I believe he would have/could have been great without the PEDs. Sadly, we will never know. Nevertheless, Bonds holds the MLB record so we can only look suspiciously at his numbers.

Setting everything aside, celebrate Aaron Judge for having one of the most historic seasons in Yankees history. To walk among Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Roger Maris, Joe DiMaggio, Mickey Mantle, and others is truly special and assures Judge will always be remembered for his Pinstriped accomplishments regardless of what the future may hold.

For everyone who believes that Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Angels should be the AL MVP, there is no denying he is a special talent. His elite performance as both a pitcher and hitter is unlike anything we have ever seen. But despite his greatness, the Angels finished third place in the AL West, thirty-three games behind the division champion Houston Astros. They were thirteen games behind the last Wild Card team, the Tampa Bay Rays. Judge’s performance lifted his team to the AL East championship, and a bye for the first round of the playoffs. It was an incredible year for Judge who was the most valuable in leading his team. Maybe they should create a new award for two-way guys like Ohtani to recognize his greatness, but this season belongs to Aaron Judge.

Cheers to the apparent 2022 AL Most Valuable Player!


Aaron Judge and wife, Samantha Bracksieck / Photo Credit: Getty/Gotham

The Yankees will soon announce (or set) the 2022 ALDS roster. I have never really found the need to predict a roster. Those decisions will be made by Yankees leadership, and they have far greater insight than any of us. Therefore, I will roll out the projected roster presented by Yankees beat writer Kristie Ackert in this morning’s New York Daily News (for no other reason than it is a reasonable representation of what to expect).

CATCHERS

Jose Trevino, Kyle Higashioka

No surprises here.

INFIELDERS

Anthony Rizzo, Gleyber Torres, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Josh Donaldson, DJ LeMahieu, Oswald Peraza

LeMahieu scares me. If his toe is still bothering him, he is a liability on the roster. Hopefully, he is better even if he was uninspiring during his late season return. I would be happy to see the young Peraza make the roster. We know IKF’s yips can be damaging at times, and there are situations I would feel much better with the steady glove of Peraza at short. Assuming he is not traded in the offseason, Peraza will fill a much larger role for the Yankees next season, and the experience he is gaining this October is invaluable.

OUTFIELDERS

Aaron Judge, Harrison Bader, Oswaldo Cabrera, Tim Locastro

It is funny how a player who was in the minor leagues (and more notably “not” an outfielder) when the season began is now a huge part of the outfield crew. Testament to the athleticism, energy, and commitment to excellence demonstrated by Cabrera who has made himself indispensable to this team. He has been a revelation and has forced the Yankees to make room for him on the big-league roster for the years to come. The surprise here is clearly the omission of the much-maligned Aaron Hicks. The Yankees need speed which makes Locastro the better option, and of course with Bader and Cabrera, there is no longer a starting role for Hicks. I hope the Yankees have the same vision as Kristie with the outfield.

DESIGNATED HITTER

Giancarlo Stanton, Matt Carpenter

I am happy to see the return of Matty Mustache, but the challenge will be to find playing time for both him and Stanton in the same lineup. Stanton was starting to heat up as the regular season winded down, and he is capable to carrying the team to greater heights so he must play. Carpenter’s continued recovery from the fractured foot makes him an unlikely prospect for the outfield. So, it seems he will be the pinch hitter extraordinaire. Maybe he can have one (or more) of those Kirk Gibson-like moments.

STARTERS

Gerrit Cole, Nestor Cortes, Luis Severino, James Taillon

Although Cole goes into the ALDS as the likely Game 1 starter, there is no question (in my mind) that Nestor Cortes, Jr is the best starter on the staff. Those are words I never thought I would type. Yet here we are. On the bright side, if Cole falters in Game 1 like Max Scherzer of the Mets did last night, Cortes is ready to pick him up in Game 2. Funny that I have greater trust and confidence in the Game 2 and 3 starters (Cortes and Luis Severino). Maybe Cole can finally have his Yankees signature moment to propel himself to October success. I hope so. Masahiro Tanaka always seemed to elevate his play when the stakes were higher. For the record, I wanted the Yankees to trade for Frankie Montas at the trading deadline after they lost out on Luis Castillo over someone like Jose Quintana, however, watching Quintana shove yesterday showed that, at least for this season, Quintana would have been the better (and cheaper) option. As the saying goes, Hindsight is 20/20.

BULLPEN

Domingo German, Clarke Schmidt, Lou Trivino, Scott Effross, Jonathan Loaisiga, Clay Holmes, Wandy Peralta, Lucas Luetge

I support a decision to exclude Aroldis Chapman. He was my favorite DFA candidate toward the end of the regular season. He has served his time in Pinstripes and the end is near. There is no way the Yankees re-sign him when he hits free agency in a few weeks. It was a rapid fall from one of the best closers in the game to an in-game liability. There is no trust with Chapman, and his presence on the roster would only reinforce the possibility of a meltdown like one experienced by Cardinals closer Ryan Helsley in yesterday’s loss to the Phillies when he gave up four runs to blow a 2-0 lead in the ninth inning. I wish I had greater confidence in Holmes, but I do not. I miss first-half Holmes. The Guardians showed the value of a lockdown closer yesterday with Emmanuel Clase saving the impressive performance by Shane Bieber to beat the Rays by one run. There is not one pitcher in the Yankees bullpen that one can say is “lockdown.” There is potential with a couple of them, but there is also the potential for disaster. I hope the pen does not become the team’s Achilles Heel in the days ahead.

MANAGER

Aaron Boone

Dammit! Okay, I am just kidding on this last one. Boonie has a chance to change perceptions in the coming days…or not. His moves will be openly criticized by the fan base. If he is right, he will be legend. If he is wrong, he will hear boos that have not been heard since Joey Gallo. With the Yankees fan base, there is nothing in between. Total success or into the depths of hell with defeat. No pressure, Boonie. There may be days I have felt the Yankees would be better under the leadership of a different manager, but not right here, right now. Boone has the respect of his clubhouse, and he has a chance to lead his team beyond the ALDS. He needs our support. We can reevaluate after the season.


Aarons Boone and Judge / Photo Credit: Jason Getz, USA TODAY Sports

I am hopeful that Andrew Benintendi will be ready for the ALCS if the Yankees make it, but first things first. The Guardians can book their travel for New York if they beat the Rays today. Triston McKenzie gets the call for the Guardians and will be opposed by Tyler Glasnow. It should be another great pitching performance by both sides like yesterday’s 2-1 game. Whether it is the Guardians or Rays, the Yankees will have a challenge in the ALDS. Can they succeed? They have the talent, and I am certainly hopeful, but the games must be played on the field so time will tell. For now, we wait.

Tired of Wading. Tyler Wade left the Yankees organization again but this time without a whimper. He did not make any appearances on the active big-league roster for his second go-around in the organization. I believe he may have traveled with the team once as an emergency player but was never activated. The Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders announced Thursday that Wade elected free agency.

I bet he watched Oswaldo Cabrera thrive in the Bronx and wondered what could have been for him if he had been able to succeed with his limited opportunities. Oh well, I wish him the best for his next destination and hope it proves more fruitful for him than his time this season with his hometown Angels and the reunion with the Yankees’ farm system.


Tyler Wade / Photo Credit: Christopher Dolan, The Citizen's Voice

As always, Go Yankees!