The New York Yankees lost Luis Severino for at least a few
weeks to open the season after the right-hander was scratched from his spring
debut with shoulder discomfort. The diagnosis was inflammation in his right
rotator cuff and the cure, the Yankees hope anyway, is two weeks of rest and
some anti-inflammatories. Immediately following the news, the focus shifted to
whether or not the Yankees should add another pitcher, namely either Dallas
Keuchel or Gio Gonzalez. While I think many are well-versed in what Keuchel
brings to the table already, I think most don’t truly know what the team would
be acquiring if they were to go out and sign Gonzalez on a one-year (presumably)
deal. How would Gio pitch in the American League after splitting time with
Washington and Milwaukee in 2018? The stats suggest that he may not fare so
well for the Bronx Bombers…
First, let’s look at Gio’s career stats inside of Yankee
Stadium. Gio has pitched three games inside Yankee Stadium III, all three of
them starts spanning 17.2 innings pitched. Combined, Gio has allowed 13 hits
and nine runs to the Yankees, all of them earned, on one home run with nine
walks. Gio did strike out 16 batters for almost a batter struck out per innings
pitched, but a WHIP of 1.245 and a 4.58 ERA leaves much to be desires. Sure,
the sample size is small, but the sample size expands a bit when you look at
what he has done in other key American League ballparks.
I | Split | W | L | ERA | G | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | WHIP | SO9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAA-Angel Stad | 3 | 2 | 4.05 | 6 | 33.1 | 29 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 1.260 | 8.1 | |
DET-Comerica Pk | 0 | 2 | 32.40 | 2 | 5.0 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3.800 | 7.2 | |
CHW-US Cellular | 0 | 3 | 3.98 | 3 | 20.1 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 1.230 | 10.2 | |
HOU-MinuteMaidPk | 1 | 0 | 3.60 | 2 | 15.0 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1.200 | 9.6 | |
BOS-Fenway Pk | 3 | 0 | 5.08 | 5 | 28.1 | 28 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 1.518 | 9.2 | |
MIN-Metrodome | 0 | 1 | 21.00 | 1 | 3.0 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.667 | 15.0 | |
CLE-Progressive | 4 | 0 | 1.13 | 6 | 40.0 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 1.100 | 8.8 | |
OAK-O.co Colis | 21 | 15 | 3.73 | 47 | 277.1 | 244 | 125 | 115 | 31 | 138 | 256 | 1.377 | 8.3 | |
BAL-Camden Yards | 2 | 3 | 3.15 | 7 | 45.2 | 47 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 1.401 | 6.1 | |
KCR-KauffmanStad | 3 | 2 | 6.14 | 6 | 29.1 | 34 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 1.705 | 5.2 | |
SEA-Safeco Fld | 2 | 2 | 3.48 | 8 | 44.0 | 41 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 27 | 52 | 1.545 | 10.6 | |
TOR-Rogers Ctr | 1 | 3 | 5.70 | 4 | 23.2 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 1.310 | 7.2 | |
MIN-Target Field | 1 | 1 | 1.50 | 2 | 12.0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1.083 | 8.3 | |
TEX-Rangers Bpk | 1 | 2 | 4.29 | 5 | 21.0 | 26 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 1.571 | 7.7 | |
TBR-TropicanaFld | 0 | 2 | 16.00 | 4 | 9.0 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 3.444 | 11.0 | |
NYY-Yankee Stad3 | 1 | 1 | 4.58 | 3 | 17.2 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 1.245 | 8.2 |
Now, you must remember that Gio did much of his damage in
the American League as a much younger pitcher with the Oakland Athletics. Whether
that works for him or against him at this point in his career remains to be
seen, but it is worth mentioning that Gio’s first four seasons in Oakland
resulted in a 38-32 record with a 3.93 ERA, 4.06 FIP, and a 1.410 WHIP.
Meanwhile, in the National League, Gio posted a total of 89 wins and 65 losses
with a 3.59 ERA, 3.45 FIP and 1.276 WHIP with the Nationals and Brewers. Gio
was a much better pitcher in the National League and that should scare you if
you are a fan of the New York Yankees signing him.
I’m not saying that Gio would get lit up in the Bronx,
although he may, but I am not saying that he would be that big of an upgrade
either. Remember, Gio has missed all of spring training up to date and that’s
not nothing. At this point would Gio, at least until Severino returns anyway,
be that much better than what the Yankees have in Jonathan Loaisiga and Domingo
German? Honestly, I think not. If Severino were having a much more serious
injury that we could pinpoint RIGHT NOW, like a Tommy John surgery for
instance, then the argument could be made that Gio would be better over the
course of a season than what the Yankees already have, but right now we just
can’t do that. I wouldn’t feel comfortable even suggesting that.
In closing, stick with what we have and ride the wave. If
the Severino shoulder injury becomes more serious, then you react, but right
now I feel like it would be foolish to go out and get a guy like Gio, Keuchel,
or anyone outside of the organization for what could amount to just a couple
missed starts. Maybe I’m wrong, but I don’t think that I am.
What say you?
All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference
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Sorry for the Capatcha... Blame the Russians :)