Yankees Arbitration Estimates

While it's nearly impossible to predict the salaries for arbitration eligible players, Matt Swartz of MLB Trade Rumors has come up with a very accurate formula for doing so. It's not perfect, but he's been able to predict arbitration salaries within 5% the last few years.

Over the weekend the Offseason Outlook for the Yankees was published at MLBTR, and it included Matt's arbitration estimates. However, this morning, those figures were updated to the following (my estimates are in parenthesis)...

David Robertson: $5.5 million ($5 million)

Brett Gardner: $4 million ($6 million)

Ivan Nova: $2.8 million ($2.5 million)

Shawn Kelley: $1.5 million ($1.5 million)
Jayson Nix: $1.5 million 

Francisco Cervelli: $1 million

Chris Stewart: $1 million

I didn't predict the salaries of Nix, Cervelli, or Stewart as I didn't include them on my 2014 roster. However, I'm happy that my predictions were likely too high, meaning the Yankees could do what I'd like and have a little bit more money to work with to do things like strengthen the bullpen.