I haven’t added anything to the blog lately, so let’s come
out with the smoke. If the Yankees were to acquire Trevor Story from the
Colorado Rockies in a trade this off-season he will be better in pinstripes
than DJ LeMahieu was. There, I said it.
Now that we got that out of the way, let’s analyze. The New
York Yankees acquired DJ off the free agent market two seasons ago with the
hopes of the right-hander filling in as a super utility player for the Yankees
in the infield. No one, except me, expected LeMahieu to break out in the way he
did in 2019, and again in 2020, and most of the people who saw this headline
probably never even made it this far into the article. I’m not worried about if
people agree with me or not, most didn’t when I said that Kyle Higashioka not
only should, but would, become Gerrit Cole’s personal catcher and I was okay
with that too. It’s not even about being right, it’s about what is best for the
team. Adding Trevor Story makes this team better, with or without DJ. Keep
reading, please.
Like I said two years ago with LeMahieu, Story would benefit
immensely from making the shift from the NL West to the AL East Division. Now,
before we get too upset again, I will admit that Story most definitely
benefitted from playing inside Coors Field, like most who have ever played
there, but Coors Field did not make Story the exciting player that he is today.
His splits will tell you that he does better as a home player versus what he
does as a member of the road team, but what it doesn’t tell you is that there
are a lot of factors that just don’t get included in those splits posted above.
What those splits don’t tell you is how Story potentially was hurt, production wise,
by playing inside parks like Petco Park in San Diego, AT&T Park in San
Francisco, etc. It also doesn’t show you how Story would actually benefit from
not playing 10-15 times in each of those stadiums, while shifting those away
games to more hitter friendly environments like Boston’s Fenway Park, Baltimore’s
Oriole Park in Camden Yards, the Rogers Centre (or the Stadium up in Buffalo,
NY) in Toronto, and Tropicana Field down in Tampa.
Dimensions, level of talent on each side (imagine having to
play the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers 30 times a season versus
playing the Red Sox, Orioles, Blue Jays and Rays), and the team around him are
all kept out of the splits that we see on Baseball Reference.
Coors Field dimensions |
Instead of focusing too much on what Story could potentially
do as a road player for the Yankees inside these stadiums, I prefer to focus on
what he could do inside Yankee Stadium. If Story craps the bed in the Bronx, it
probably doesn’t matter as much what he does against everyone else. Agree?
While it is hard to predict what he will do, his spray charts mixed with the
overall dimensions of Coors Field vs. Yankee Stadium make it a little easier.
Story, like DJ, sprays the ball all over the field for
average and for power. Story, like DJ, would wreak havoc on the short porch in
right field given his tendencies to go the other way for power. Story, like DJ,
was actually hurt by this while playing in a much more spacious Coors Field.
The ball carries more in Coors Field than possibly anywhere else, but it really
carries down that right field line in the Bronx as well. Story, like DJ, will
benefit much more in the Bronx than he did in Colorado because a lot of those
line outs and fly outs will turn into doubles, home runs and scoring
opportunities in the Bronx (in a perfect world). Story would give the Yankees
another “professional hitter” on the club, although his strikeout numbers are
his biggest flaw in my opinion, while also giving the team something they need
possibly more so than hitting, and that is defense. Specifically, defense at
the shortstop position.
Acquiring Story allows the Yankees to move Gleyber Torres
back to the position he is better suited for defensively, the second base
position, while allowing Story to slide into the shortstop position. The
infield defense is instantly better, but does this mean that this would leave
DJ on the outside looking in for the 2021 season? Not necessarily, this is
where the “Get Greedy” part comes out of me. In my plan, you acquire Story to
allow him to play short and you move Gleyber back to second, but you also sign
DJ with the intention of being an “every day” first baseman. Yes, he would move
around and wouldn’t be containted to only first base, but that would be his
position on Opening Day. What does that mean for Luke Voit? Well, listen, I
love Voit as much as the next guy, but if the Yankees are looking to trade away
from their core in order to keep costs down and fill the gaps needed on the
field, he makes the most sense to move on from. Why? Because he has tremendous
value right now, his defense at first base is atrocious, and if the Yankees have
to choose one strength to trade from it should be from the power department and
not from the average-first/professional-type hitters. If the Yankees trade Voit
they could still hit 270-280 home runs this season, maybe more with Story if he
has a big season, but the team would be more balanced, better defensively, and
better overall.
Having an infield defense of Gio Urshela, Story, Torres and
DJ behind a pitcher like Luis Castillo or equivalent (Voit included in the trade
to keep the prospect cost down) is much better than having an infield defense
of Gio, Gleyber, DJ and Voit behind “#2 pitcher” Domingo German, Jordan Montgomery,
or whatever dumpster fire pitcher that Yankees GM Brian Cashman tries to sell
us on here in about or so. The Yankees could also try and entice the Rockies to
include Kyle Freeland (or less likely German Marquez) in the deal by including
Louis Vinwood Voit III.
EDIT: Here is a mock trade I threw together rather quickly. While this isn't the trade I necessarily see happening, something similar could go down if this were to come to fruition.
Year | Age | Tm | G | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | SB | CS | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | OPS+ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | 26 | COL | 145 | 656 | 111 | 173 | 38 | 5 | 35 | 85 | 23 | 8 | 58 | 174 | .294 | .363 | .554 | .917 | 119 |
2020 | 27 | COL | 59 | 259 | 41 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 24 | 63 | .289 | .355 | .519 | .874 | 118 |
162 | 162 | 162 | 162 | 683 | 101 | 171 | 39 | 6 | 36 | 101 | 21 | 6 | 57 | 195 | .277 | .343 | .535 | .877 | 114 |
Year | Age | Tm | Lg | G | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | SB | CS | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | OPS+ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 29 | COL | NL | 128 | 581 | 90 | 147 | 32 | 2 | 15 | 62 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 82 | .276 | .321 | .428 | .749 | 88 |
162 | 162 | 162 | 162 | 162 | 658 | 92 | 182 | 29 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 12 | 6 | 48 | 97 | .305 | .357 | .430 | .787 | 102 |
Now, since this post has basically turned into a Story vs.
DJ post, which was not intended since I planned on bringing back DJ with or
without this potential trade, let’s take a look at DJ’s final season in
Colorado vs. Story’s 2019 season with the Rockies (we are leaving 2020 out due
to sample size for Story). As you can see, Story outplayed DJ in many key
categories during this comparison. While you can’t bank on lightning striking
twice in the same spot with former Rockies coming over to the Yankees, you can
predict it a little better when you know what type of player each player really
is. Story, like DJ, uses the entire field and hits for average while taking an
ample number of walks. Story will strike out too much and the Yankees faithful
will hate that, but that’s where the comparison ends. DJ is a lead-off type
hitter that loves to jump on a first pitch fastball. Story does his best work
if he see’s a pitch or two first. Story would hit towards the middle of most
lineups, but probably around 6th here in the Bronx. He should hit
second and Aaron Judge should hit third, in my opinion, but manager Aaron Boone
(or is it Cashman here too?) seems obsessed with keeping Judge in the two hole.
Judge has a higher career OBP than Story (Judge’s .390 OBP vs. Story’s .343),
but again we are stuck in a place where one stat doesn’t tell the whole story.
Judge has seen the likes of Aaron Hicks and Brett Gardner hitting behind him in
the 3rd slot just for the sake of having a lefty up there, and while
that’s not the sole reason for his OBP advantage, it certainly helps. Why pitch
to Judge with Brett Gardner on deck? Especially with RISP. You don’t. In fact,
you should never. Judge can change the game with one swing of the bat, Gardner
and Hicks generally don’t do that.
My Yankees lineup, not the Yankees lineup that I think would
be put out every day, would be this if the team were to acquire Story, re-sign
DJ, and trade Voit for pitching:
1B – DJ LeMahieu
SS – Trevor Story
RF – Aaron Judge
DH – Giancarlo Stanton
CF – Aaron Hicks (for the sake of a lefty)
2B – Gleyber Torres
LF – Clint Frazier
3B- Gio Urshela
C – Gary Sanchez
Let me be frank, I don’t think this is what the Yankees are
going to do. This is merely what I would do as the GM of the New York Yankees.
I am not sure what the Rockies would need or want to include Story, or Story
plus Freeland/Marquez, but with the Padres and Dodgers stranglehold on the
division for a while I would lean towards the team being ready for a “total
rebuild.” I say that with parenthesis because I find it unlikely that the team
will be able to move Arenado in this current economic climate, but at the same
time I also don’t think the likes of Frazier or other top talent and MLB-ready
talent would need to be included beyond Voit. If the Rockies are interested in
what many Yankees fans perceive as fringe players on the roster, Miguel
Andujar, Mike Ford, Mike Tauchman and Tyler Wade immediately come to mind, then
naturally that deal could change, but I am thinking of everyday players only when
I say that.
Adding a defensive-minded shortstop that can hit over .300
with 20+ home runs and 90+ RBI a season to an already potent lineup seems
unfair. Making the defense exponentially better while allowing the Yankees to
trade Voit (and not miss much production, because remember Story’s production
would somewhat offset what was lost by the exit of Voit) and add the
cost-controlled young #2 or even #3 pitcher to match up with Cole… now that’s
just being Greedy… and I love being Greedy.