Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Shock the World & Make THIS Trade


Hello again Yankees family. This morning we are coming to you live from the land of the crazies again as I bring you another trade that the Yankees could and possibly SHOULD make this offseason. Now remember when reading this that I was also “crazy” when I discussed the possibility of the Yankees making a huge splash this winter acquiring Mike Trout, well until Sweeny Murti “had the idea” and it was all of a sudden a great idea, and I’m back at it again with another off-the-wall trade proposal that would not only shock Major League Baseball and turn the game upside down but it also might just work for the New York Yankees.  

Brian Cashman, pick up the phone and ask the Arizona Diamondbacks what they want for Zack Greinke. The Arizona Diamondbacks almost need to trade Greinke this offseason in order to push the franchise forward and do really anything this winter. His contract is an organization buckling type deal for a team like the Diamondbacks and the team in the desert is already talking about trading him. Who could blame them, Zack Greinke is in no way, shape or form a $34 million pitcher in my opinion, especially through the 2021 season, but because of that not many teams besides the Yankees can and will take on a contract of that magnitude. For that reason the Yankees have their bargaining chip.

The Yankees have a ton of money coming off the books this season and next and while this could also hamper the Yankees for quite some time, especially if Masahiro Tanaka does not opt-out after this season, with the influx of youth the team could remain competitive while still getting under the luxury tax threshold. Remember, the team only has to get under the cap for one reason to reset all penalties which is something that can easily be done with the Gary Sanchez’s, Aaron Judge’s and Tyler Austin’s of the world on the roster. The Yankees have over $50 million coming off the books this season alone so $34 million for Greinke plus $16 million for Aroldis Chapman, for example, and the team adds minimal salary through arbitration while being better than their 2016 version tenfold. 

If the Yankees take on the entire contract the prospect demand would be minimal, extremely minimal. Greinke had a down season in 2016, and truth be told most free agents do after signing contracts like he did before last season, and should bounce back in 2017. He didn’t lose velocity on his fastball and he was relatively healthy last season, he just didn’t have the defense, the run support or whatever else he was missing from the Dodgers on the Diamondbacks last season. Simple as that, it happens. If the Yankees can get Arizona to pay down some of that deal and send a pitcher like Brady Lail, who was not protected from the Rule 5 Draft, Chad Green or Luis Cessa and a smaller prospect package I think the deal could ultimately get done. Quite easily actually. -


Oh and before anyone brings up his anxiety and inability to pitch in the big markets like New York let’s remember how long ago Greinke actually fought anxiety and depression and let’s remember how he has pitched on the biggest of stages, i.e. the playoffs, the All-Star Game etc. He’ll do fine. Trust me. Famous last words I know but do it anyway, Greinke will be fine in New York or wherever he goes. Let’s just hope Brian Cashman has the balls to make sure where he goes in 2017 is New York. 

4 comments:

  1. Good idea but have Diamondbacks pay at least all salary next year. This would insure getting under luxury tax threshold. Maybe add couple top 30 prospects to get it done.

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    1. I'm not sure that would work, as the Luxury Tax is calculated by a contracts average annual value... not the actual yearly salary given to a player.

      However, I agree that I would want the DBacks to pay some of his salary, as I'm not sold that he's going to be a perennial Cy Young Award candidate like he was earlier in his career.

      Would that mean having to give up better prospects? Yep. But as long as we're not talking about top 5 prospects, I'm not that concerned. Although, I guess it depends on which prospects we're talking about.

      His HR rate went way up last season, and Yankee Stadium won't help that come down. I mean, even if he gets better in that category, I don't think it will be by that much to keep his ERA in the sub-3.00 area. And for $34 million a year, it better well be that low.

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  2. Bryan,

    You are correct that the luxury tax is calculated by the AAV but I do believe it takes into account what team is paying the salary. Actually I am basically certain it does. If Arizona agreed to pay all the salary, and they won't so let's make that clear, the Yankees luxury tax bill on him next season would be $0.

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