Showing posts with label 2017 Free Agents. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2017 Free Agents. Show all posts

Friday, June 24, 2016

Do You Realize?

In my continuing attempt to forget about how bad the New York Yankees are doing this season, I took a look at the team's payroll for next season. And one interesting thing led to another. But let's start with a few facts...

  1. Between Mark Teixeira, Carlos Beltran, Aroldis Chapman, Ivan Nova, and the money the team was paying towards Martin Prado's contract, the Yankees will free up $56.55 million. 
  2. If you take the $150.5 million the team will pay towards player contracts next season (that number includes Sabathia's vesting option), and add around $35 million in arbitration and pre-arbitration salaries, the Yankees will have a payroll of around $185.5 million for 2017.
  3. The current MLB salary cap, or the amount a team can spend towards payroll before having to pay the luxury tax, is $189 million. Even if the luxury tax remains in the new Collective Bargaining Agreement, chances are that cap will rise, and I can easily see it reaching $200 million. That would mean the Yankees have about $14 million to spend next year, assuming they'll try to get under the tax threshold.

So where would that leave the Yankees for 2017?

"It doesn't look good down there."

With Teixeira out at first, the Yankees have a number of options... Greg Bird, Rob Refsnyder, Chris Parmelee, Austin Romine, and Brian McCann.

With Beltran out of right field, the Yankees have just as many options... Aaron Judge, Aaron Hicks, Rob Refsnyder, Jake Cave, and Ben Gamel.

Every other position on the diamond, including the starting rotation and bullpen, are filled. Yeah, it may not seem right, seeing as how the team is losing two of it's regular batters, but it's true. Take a look for yourself...

Catcher: Brian McCann
First Base: Greg Bird/Rob Refsnyder/Chris Parmelee/Austin Romine
Second Base: Starlin Castro
Shortstop: Didi Gregorius
Third Base: Chase Headley
Left Field: Brett Gardner
Center Field: Jacoby Ellsbury
Right Field: Aaron Judge/Aaron Hicks/Rob Refsnyder/Jack Cave/Ben Gamel
Designated Hitter: Alex Rodriguez

Starters: Masahiro Tanaka, Nathan Eovaldi, CC Sabathia, Michael Pineda, Luis Severino, Chad Green, James Kaprielian

Bullpen: Andrew Miller, Dellin Betances, Bryan Mitchell, etc. (they can easily fill the four other spots with players within the organization)

Some people may be concerned about that list of starting pitchers, but let's be honest...

Masahiro Tanaka is a strong starter at the top of the rotation, I still believe Eovaldi can be a solid middle of the rotation option, CC Sabathia has finally learned how to pitch without the velocity he had earlier in his career, Luis Severino is doing quite well in AAA, Chad Green has been killing it in Scranton, and despite his injury James Kaprielian could still be a nice contributor at the big league level next year.

Now for the even crazier part...

Okay, it's not "Gary Busey" crazy.

That all means the Yankees could actually re-sign Aroldis Chapman, keep the three-headed bullpen monster together for at least two more years, and still get under the luxury tax threshold. Assuming, of course, Chapman would sign for somewhere around his current salary of $11.325 million a year.

Or how about trading Andrew Miller, who would fetch quite a bit in a trade (either before the deadline or during the offseason) thanks to his below-market salary and being under contract for two more years? Then the Yankees could re-sign Chapman. That would leave three very capable bullpen arms in Chapman, Betances, and Mitchell. Not to mention the team would be under the cap by around $7 million going into the 2017 season.

If you want to see the finished product that I'm speaking of, here you go...

Catcher: Brian McCann
First Base: Greg Bird/Rob Refsnyder/Chris Parmelee/Austin Romine
Second Base: Starlin Castro
Shortstop: Didi Gregorius
Third Base: Chase Headley
Left Field: Brett Gardner
Center Field: Jacoby Ellsbury
Right Field: Aaron Judge/Aaron Hicks/Rob Refsnyder/Jack Cave/Ben Gamel

Starters: Masahiro Tanaka, Nathan Eovaldi, CC Sabathia, Michael Pineda, Luis Severino, Chad Green, James Kaprielian

Bullpen: Aroldis Chapman, Dellin Betances, Bryan Mitchell, etc. (they can easily fill the four other spots with players within the organization)

The best part... that does not include the player or players the team gets by dealing away Andrew Miller.

Friday, March 27, 2015

The Future Yankees Are More Fun Than The 2015 Version

While I always try to be optimistic about the Yankees' chances of being good, I can understand why some people have their doubts.

"Prove me wrong."

Mark Teixeira's bat is too slow, Alex Rodriguez has had multiple surgeries and is pushing 40 years old, Carlos Beltran is 37 and coming off of elbow surgery, Masahiro Tanaka's elbow could explode on Opening Day, CC Sabathia's knee could give out while getting out of bed tomorrow morning, Michael Pineda's shoulder is far from "great", Nathan Eovaldi has to control that big fastball of his, and the list goes on.

The 2015 season for the Yankees could end with a World Series victory celebration, or it could end after the regular season with them at the bottom of the American League East standings. It's going to be that type of season.

So how about we forget what is going to be a crazy season and look to the future? I'm not thinking a year from now, I'm thinking about two years from now.

After the 2016 season the contracts for Mark Teixeira and Carlos Beltran will be over with, and I don't need the Long Island Medium or some other future telling con-artist to tell me the chances of them being re-signed hover around "none". And that is after the Yankees can say "goodbye" forever to Stephen Drew and Chris Capuano.

Yes, Alex Rodriguez's contract runs through the 2017 season, so he could very well be around. The way things have gone I think it's a pipe-dream that the Yankees would release him, and eat the remaining $20 million on his deal.

So what does that leave us with? Well, let's assume the Yankees aren't interested in future free agents like Ian Desmond, Justin Upton, David Price, Alex Gordon, Jason Heyward, Zack Greinke, Jordan Zimmerman, and Jeff Smardzija.

Position (2017 salary/remaining contract)

C - Brian McCann ($17m/signed through 2018)
1B - Greg Bird (pre-arbitration)
2B - Rob Refsnyder (pre-arbitration)
SS - Didi Gregorius (arbitration)
3B - Chase Headley ($13m/signed through 2018)
LF - Brett Gardner ($12m/signed through 2018)
CF - Jacoby Ellsbury ($21.2m/signed through 2020)
RF - Aaron Judge (pre-arbitration)
DH - Alex Rodriguez ($20m/signed through 2017)

SP1 - Masahiro Tanaka ($22m/opt-out after 2017 season)
SP2 - Michael Pineda (arbitration)
SP3 - Luis Severino (pre-arbitration)
SP4 - Nathan Eovaldi (arbitration)
SP5 - CC Sabathia ($25m/vesting option for 2017, dependent on health of left shoulder)

FYI, the total salary for those same positions this season, before taking into account players that are pre-arbitration or arbitration-eligible, is $176.7 million (that includes Chris Capuano's $5 million). The total for those players I just listed for the 2017 team, again... before pre-arbitration and arbitration-eligible players, is only $130.2 million.

I bet that your eyes jumped back up to that list of upcoming free agents.