Showing posts with label Comparisons. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Comparisons. Show all posts

Friday, January 11, 2019

DJ LeMahieu and Hitting Inside Yankee Stadium (And Outside of Coors Field)



The New York Yankees signed second baseman and former Colorado Rockies hitter DJ LeMahieu today to a two-year deal rumored to be around $24 million. Presumably, LeMahieu will be the Yankees starting second baseman on Opening Day 2019, assuming health of course, but New York has already been quite vocal about DJ’s ability to play all over the infield. The Yankees pretty much know what they are going to get from LeMahieu defensively, DJ is a multiple-time Gold Glove winner as well as a 2018 Fielding Bible Award winner at second base in the National League, but do they know what they are going to get from their new second baseman offensively? Do the fans who are already crucifying LeMahieu and Yankees GM Brian Cashman know what they are going to get from LeMahieu offensively, aside from his splits inside Coors Field? No, they don’t, but thanks to Baseball Reference and Fangraphs we can make an educated guess at what to expect from the latest “DJ” inside the Yankees infield.


 Looking at LeMahieu’s spray chart and hit chart, courtesy of Fangraphs, you can see that DJ has surprising fly ball and line drive power to all fields, but especially to right field. This is especially important for a player that plays 81 of his games in the Bronx and inside Yankee Stadium. Many fans were quick to point out LeMahieu’s splits at home and away from Colorado’s Coors Field, but none of them even considered what it would be like hitting in the traditionally hitting friendly stadiums throughout the AL East.


 Yes, DJ LeMahieu benefited from hitting inside Coors Field for 81 games a season, but do you really think he benefited just as much hitting inside San Francisco’s spacious AT&T Park? What about San Diego’s Petco Park? I would think these stadiums would hurt his road stats more than they would help him. Equally, I would think playing those 10-12 games in each stadium inside Boston’s Fenway Park, Baltimore’s Oriole Park in Camden Yards, Tropicana Field down in Tampa, and the Rogers Centre in Toronto would help him tremendously with his home/road splits. Keep in mind, the below spreadsheet does not factor in the team’s performance and talent levels, obviously facing a stacked Boston Red Sox team is different than facing a 96-loss San Diego Padres team in 2018, but it only factors in the dimensions of every park and projects what he could do in 2019. While we are on the subject, though, the AL East won a combined 418 games (including the Yankees 100 wins which takes it down to 318 wins as LeMahieu is now a Yankee) while the NL West won a combined 404 games (including 91 by the Rockies bringing the number down to 313 wins) which goes to show you the potential level of competition LeMahieu may face in 2019 in the AL East. Teams like San Diego, San Francisco, and the Dodgers are all trying to get better while LeMahieu arrived just in time for a rebuild down in Baltimore and Toronto, with Tampa Bay on the cusp of competing again in my opinion.


As you can see, and I tried to keep this as simple as I could for simplicity’s sake, LeMahieu will surely benefit from playing in smaller ballparks throughout the AL East Division, including Yankee Stadium where he can torment opposing pitchers by using the short porch in right field. Yes, despite what the dimensions say the ball really flies out of and carries inside Coors Field, but at the same time we all know, again despite the dimensions, that AT&T Park and that huge wall in right field as well as Petco Park play a lot bigger than what the dimensions may suggest. In my opinion, keeping in mind that LeMahieu not only has to stay healthy but also has to put the barrel of the bat on the ball, what DJ loses by playing outside of Coors Field he will more than make up playing inside Yankee Stadium and the other four ballparks in the AL East.


Yes, LeMahieu has some ugly stats away from Coors Field, but that doesn’t mean that we are automatically going to see that player with the Yankees in 2019. You also have to factor in that LeMahieu will not only be playing his home games inside Yankee Stadium, but that he will also be playing his road games in traditionally hitter-friendly ballparks within the AL East. LeMahieu, and the New York Yankees, will be fine. Yankees fans have to know that, and they have to truly believe it as well.

Put me down for 20 HR and 100 RBI.

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

An Article for the All the Miguel Andujar’s Defense Haters by Daniel Burch



Good morning Yankees family and welcome back to the blog. The New York Yankees fans are the worst, at least that is what I wrote earlier this offseason, and since the elimination from the postseason they have not gotten much better. The hottest topic of them all appears to be the possible acquisition of Manny Machado, Miguel Andujar’s defense at third base, and a potential move for the 23-year old next season. There have been many doom-and-gloom posts about his “historically bad” defense this season, but here is a post giving Yankees fans everywhere a little hope regarding Andujar and his potential future as a Major League third baseman.

When looking at prospects and young players the scouts, analysts, and fans always look to other players to compare these young players to. How about this comparison for Andujar, how about Adrian Beltre? Beltre is highly respected around Major League Baseball both on and off the field and is considered to be one of the best third baseman defensively in the game. This was not always the case for the former Texas Rangers third baseman and soon-to-be free agent. When Beltre broke into the Major Leagues he was 19-years old, granted that is a lot younger than Andujar who is 23-years old, playing in 77 games with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Beltre’s bat left much to be desired, and so did his defense, and it wasn’t until the 2004 season that the Dodgers finally saw his true potential come to fruition.



As a rookie, Beltre committed 13 errors. In his first full season in 1999 the right-hander committed 29 errors which was good for a .932 fielding percentage. In 2000, Beltre committed another 23 errors. From 2001 – 2003, Beltre committed 16, 20, and 19 errors respectively. It was not until the 2004 season, the same season that Beltre began to find his groove at the plate as well, that we started to see the defensive wizard that we have seen over the past decade or so. Yet, for whatever reason, some writer at another publication writes an article that we cannot just assume that Andujar’s defense will improve, and everyone loses their mind. Everyone is preaching that article like it is the gospel, yet history (and common sense) would say otherwise.

Just as an FYI, for those who need a reminder, Andujar committed just 15 errors for a .948 fielding percentage in 2018. If you want to compare apples-to-apples, Andujar had a better defensive season than Beltre in his first two-or-three seasons. Beltre improved drastically on the defensive side, yet Andujar can’t according to many Yankees fans, writers, and journalist? I call bullshit. The numbers don’t lie. Be patient, and root for your team… or go root for the Mets.

Saturday, October 6, 2018

The Red Sox Offense vs. Masahiro Tanaka – Career



Masahiro Tanaka wants Red Sox blood, and he is going to have all he can handle tonight inside Fenway Park. Do these stats matter tonight? Probably not, especially given how much rest the Japanese-born right-hander will have tonight. Enjoy!



All stats and imagery credit go to ESPN and Baseball Reference.

The Yankees Offense vs. David Price – Career



David Price has to have a mental block built up when facing the New York Yankees by now. If he doesn’t, he should anyway. Price has officially become his own worst enemy against New York, adding in the playoff atmosphere and all the bright lights that the postseason brings, and this may be a fun game for the Yankees offense and fanbase alike.




All stats and imagery credit go to ESPN and Baseball Reference.

Friday, October 5, 2018

The Red Sox Offense vs. JA Happ – Career



JA Happ was held back from the AL Wild Card Game specifically to pitch against the Boston Red Sox twice in a potential five-game series. Was that a wise choice? History would seem to indicate that it was, but will it mean anything in October? Stay tuned…


All stats and imagery credit go to ESPN and Baseball Reference.

The Yankees Offense vs. Chris Sale – Career



What have the New York Yankees done against tonight’s Boston starter, Chris Sale, throughout their careers? And does it mean anything for tonight? Only one way to find out, stay tuned…



All stats and imagery credit go to ESPN and Baseball Reference.

Friday, June 29, 2018

The Yankees and Red Sox Head-to-Head Comparison for 2018… Thus Far!


As we learned in our game preview this morning the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox will renew their rivalry and write the next chapter in their storied franchise’s history head-to-head with a three-game set inside Yankee Stadium over the weekend. What have the Yankees and Red Sox done against each other thus far, and can that maybe tell us what is to come for this latest three-game set?


Team Game-by-Game Schedule
Gm# Date Tm Opp W/L R RA Win Loss Save Attendance
11Tuesday, Apr 10boxscoreNYY@BOSL114SaleSeverino32,357
12Wednesday, Apr 11boxscoreNYY@BOSW107TanakaPrice32,400
13Thursday, Apr 12boxscoreNYY@BOSL36PorcelloGrayKimbrel36,341
35Tuesday, May 8boxscoreNYYBOSW32RobertsonHembreeChapman45,773
36Wednesday, May 9boxscoreNYYBOSW96HolderBarnesChapman47,088
37Thursday, May 10boxscoreNYYBOSL45KellyBetancesKimbrel46,899
79Friday, Jun 29previewNYYBOS7:057:057:05GameGameGameGame
80Saturday, Jun 30previewNYYBOS7:157:157:15GameGameGameGame
81Sunday, Jul 1previewNYYBOS8:058:058:05GameGameGameGame
Stat set thanks to Baseball Reference.


So, what did we learn? We didn’t exactly learn anything to be completely honest. Both teams are great this season and both teams have played each other tough head-to-head. I expect nothing less tonight and into the weekend as well. Both the Yankees and the Red Sox, even when one or both are struggling, tend to bring their “A” games when they face one another, so it should be another fun weekend in the Bronx. It will be even more fun if David Price can’t find his pitching glove or hurts his back getting out of the shower between now and Sunday, but that is another post for another day.

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Randy and CC – A Tale of Two Lefthanders



Randy and CC – A Tale of Two Lefthanders 

By David H. Lippman 

There was a story on the radio yesterday that C.C. Sabathia has indicated that he will retire after the Yankees win the World Series this year, which I found expected, inevitable, and saddening.

While Sabathia suffered from some injuries during his tenure with the Yankees, he also enjoyed some moments of true glory – the 2009 World Championship…finally notching a 20-win season…his gritty performance in 2017. He also suffered self-inflicted pain from battles with alcohol, often the bane of many human beings, regardless of profession.

Just as importantly, Sabathia truly exemplified the Yankee traditions. He is a leader in the clubhouse and in the pitching rotation. When he was on the disabled list earlier this year, he defied baseball rules and his injuries (but upholding protocol to back one’s teammates) to vault out of the dugout to lead the battle against Joe Kelly and his head-hunting.

During his tenure with the Yankees, Sabathia has been one of my absolute favorites with the Yankees. He wears his cap at an odd angle, looks baggy on the mound, and seems like a cheery working stiff, carrying the ethos of Thurman Munson without the grouchiness.

But what really attracted my loyalty to him was how he fit in to the New York Yankee environment. It was an epiphany I had quickly, when he first arrived in New York in late 2008, proving himself the diametric opposite of another fabled lefthanded pitcher.

After the Yankees’ humiliating defeat in the 2004 American League Championship Series, the Steinbrenners realized that the team lacked pitchers like David Cone, Andy Pettitte, Roger Clemens, and David Wells, who, when confronted with a do-or-die game, would shove it down the opponents’ throats. They had to give the ball in the finale to the morose, brooding, and cranky Kevin Brown, who fell into a 2-0 hole and loaded the bases. Joe Torre then turned the game over to another poor choice, Javier Vazquez, who gave up a grand slam to Johnny Damon, to end the curse.

Clearly, the 2005 Yankees needed a pitcher of towering strength, track record, and force, who could anchor the starting rotation. Randy Johnson had just such a resumé, and the Diamondbacks were happy to send him to New York in a trade for the forgettable Dioner Navarro, the worthless Javier Vazquez, and the late Brad Halsey. He died in 2014 at age 33, when he fell or jumped off of a cliff in Texas, after bizarre public behavior that led to questions about his mental health.

And that, precisely, was the mistake by the Yankees. On paper, the trade was perfect: the Yankees shedded two players of questionable value and one of some value (Navarro is still playing), and gained one of the most titanic pitchers in the history of the game.

The problem is that while such trades look good on paper (or in a baseball card game like Strat-O-Matic or Statis-Pro), they can into awful problems in real life, for many reasons: financial, physical, or mental.

In this case, the problem was mental. When Johnson arrived in New York for his medical check the day before the signing ceremony, a TV sports crew led by Duke Castiglione lay in ambush for the “Big Unit” as he walked up to the doctor’s office. Castiglione was hoping for the usual “I’m just happy to be here” interview. What he got was instead national news and a mammoth embarrassment to the Yankees – before Johnson had even opened his welcome-aboard press conference.

The video says it all. A nervous, flustered, and awkward Johnson tries to put his hand over the camera lens and push Castiglione and his cameraman aside. The behavior made Johnson appear contemptuous, boorish, and nasty off the field. The term used today for these tableaux is “bad optics,” but I’d rather say that it was simply damaging to the Yankees’ reputation. The man they had just acquired to save the pitching staff had behaved arrogantly and in a threatening manner to a major news outlet that covered them.

I had some idea of what was going on, having been in the media scrum that covered both New York baseball teams in the 1980s. I had seen players arrive in New York, either in trade or up from the minors, who had immense difficulty coping with having a dozen microphones shoved in their face by reporters asking questions (fatuous and otherwise) that they were required to answer with greater thinking and analytical abilities than they possessed. Playing baseball is easy to these guys – not explaining it or anything else in life. Nor are they used to facing as the many cameras, notebooks, and microphones that New York imposes on its professional gladiators.

Johnson was clearly frightened by the situation. The Yankees were also mortified. They are more reputation-conscious than most baseball teams, given their immense history. They would like their players to be known for brilliance on the field, and humility and professionalism off the field.

The press conference that should have been a triumphal unveiling of a future Hall-of-Famer coming to New York became a chastened team and player apologizing profusely to the New York media and fans – including an amused Castiglione – for the previous day’s incident. Little else was covered.

It was a bad start for Randy Johnson, and the season only got worse. He was inconsistent for most of the year, serving up 32 home runs, pitching a 17-8 record, with a 3.79 ERA and 211 strikeouts. Next year, he was worse, with a 17-11 record, a 5.00 ERA, and 172 strikeouts. He looked uncomfortable on the mound, and showed only flashes of the brilliance of his earlier career, and suffered a herniated disk late in 2006.

After the season, Johnson’s brother died, and Randy sought a trade back to Arizona to be closer to his family and support them in their grief. The Yankees were happy to oblige, but I think the grief was an excuse – Johnson wasn’t happy in New York, ineffective, and needed to go. In January 2007, Johnson went back to Arizona for Luis Vizcaino, Alberto González, Steven Jackson, and Ross Ohlendorf. Vizcaino gained the wins in both ends of a doubleheader for the Yankees in 2007, but otherwise, none distinguished themselves. Meanwhile, Johnson recovered as a pitcher, and went on to rack up 303 wins, punching his ticket to Cooperstown.

At his Hall of Fame press conference, Johnson was more gracious. He apologized to Yankee fans that they could not see him at his best, because of his back and hernia injuries.

But as I watched Johnson all through his two years with the Yankees, I could sense his discomfort, and it was clear that it did not come from a creaky back. Johnson had been forced to cut his distinctive hair by the Yankee regulations. He did not look like himself. He was wearing No. 41 instead of his usual No. 51, because the latter number belonged to Bernie Williams, who had seniority and credentials over Johnson. Indeed, No. 51 would go up in Monument Park among the other retired numbers.

It was clear to me that Johnson was an alien on this team, a stranger in the town, and as he struggled, I could see that he was losing the loyalty of the fans, being tolerated and barely tolerated at that. A 5.00 ERA and 172 strikeout season is worse than pedestrian. Yankee fans saw Randy Johnson on the scorecard and an imposter on the pitcher’s mound.

I also sensed, but had no evidence for, that Johnson was uncomfortable in New York, one of the few actual “World Cities,” along with London and Tokyo. Johnson came from Walnut Creek, California, a suburb outside Oakland, and lived in Arizona, where today he is Assistant to the Diamondbacks’ General Manager and has a web page (rjphotos.com) of his photographs, which depict auto racing, rock concerts, and scenes from his international travel on USO tours and African photo-safaris.

While there are shots on his web page of London and Rome, I could see he was happier snapping photos of cheetahs, lions, Buddhist monks, elephants, and African sunsets, than trying to cross Madison Avenue at rush hour. But then, few people enjoy doing the latter.

Flash forward to late 2008. Having been denied the post-season for the first time since the 1994 (and that by the baseball strike, so 1993 is more appropriate), the Yankees moved to strengthen a pitching rotation that had been defined by Carl Pavano’s non-appearances and wasted money. They did so impressive fashion, signing two sets of free agent initials, A.J. Burnett and C.C. Sabathia.

This time, there were no problems. Both pitchers got their medical checks done quietly, and showed up for their joint press conference without drama. They tried on their uniforms, smiled broadly, and said the right words. Then Sabathia added something interesting.

Unlike other ballplayers, he planned to live fulltime in the New York area, selecting a home in Alpine, New Jersey, in which to house his wife, Amber, and their three children – they added a fourth in 2010. I was impressed by that. He was starting off, trying to connect to the region.

After the press conference, CC, trailing the pack of reporters, took a tour of the unfinished new Yankee Stadium, visiting the Yankee clubhouse with Burnett and choosing the site of his locker. The two posed for photos in the clubhouse.

But CC wasn’t done yet. He walked around the stadium, where construction workers were laboring at their tasks, trying to meet that deadline. On camera, CC chatted with the workers, signing autographs and posing for pictures. I was impressed. He was casual about it.

The YES Network put this all on video and their segment on CC’s signing ended with him giving a plug for Yankee season tickets. That impressed me the most – he had neatly threaded several important social needles on the first day…a proper press conference…moving to the region…connecting with the men who were doing the hard work in putting the new Yankee Stadium together…assuming his duties to advertise and support the Yankee team. All in about two hours.

“He’s figured it out,” I said to everyone I discussed Sabathia with. “He’ll do fine.”

I later learned some of the reasons behind Sabathia’s demeanor. He had overcome much in his life. Sabathia’s father Corky was a drug addict who abandoned the family, contracted HIV, and died of stomach cancer in 2002. CC himself was robbed at gunpoint in Cleveland by two former Cleveland State basketball players in the city’s downtown. Right after that incident, CC called his girlfriend Amber and said, “If you were here, this wouldn’t have happened. Let’s get married.” They did so in 2003. By then, CC and Corky had reunited, and one of the pitcher’s tattoos honors Corky.

In 2008, the Indians traded Sabathia to the Brewers in the usual “the-team-stinks-so-let’s-dump-free-agents-before-we-can’t-sign-them” deal. Amber suggested that CC take out a major ad in The Plain Dealer, the city’s newspaper, thanking the fans for 10 years of support and loyalty, which they did.

Amber Sabathia herself has her own website, ambersabathia.com, where she writes on successful parenting. Both have their own foundation, PitCChIn, which supports three useful causes: teaching kids age 5 to 12 baseball; providing kids in need in The Bronx and CC’s native Vallejo, California, with school supplies; and renovating baseball fields for kids to play on.

In 2014, Amber ran the New York City marathon as a fund-raiser for the foundation.

I read all that (then and now), and said, “Oh, he gets it. He’ll be fine. He’ll have no problem.”

Sure enough, the only problem CC Sabathia had for his 10 years in pinstripes has been injuries (inevitable for players) and a struggle with liquor late in the 2015 season.

I did wonder how his family fit in, though, and part of it was answered by their charity. In 2009, I got a call from them, asking if my Mayor was going to attend an event Amber Sabathia was doing at the Newark Boys and Girls Club.

I used the chance to chat with the woman from the foundation, and I asked her if Amber had taken the smaller Sabathias to New York attractions as planned. She said they’d been to the Bronx Zoo a lot.

Well, that’s fine for kids, I admitted, but New York had a lot more. I told her to grab her pen, and rattled off the Brooklyn Children’s Museum (the nation’s oldest); the Queens Museum (the Panorama of New York); the Museum of Mathematics (the only one in the nation, which offers interactive games to teach math to kids, including bicycles with square wheels); and my favorite, the New York Transit Museum, with its Saturday morning art programs for kids. The assistant was duly impressed. She promised to pass that on to Amber.

Then I pleaded with my bosses to support the event in some way. I was eager to go – I would provide Amber herself with fliers on these museums and my guest pass to the Transit Museum. As a family member, I get one every year, good for free admission for two adults and two kids.

But they didn’t respond. We had galactic crises to deal with. I was very upset, as one may imagine. I didn’t want to grill the pitcher about facing hitters or cadge autographs – being a father and a family man, I was more interested in helping a new family to the New York area get settled in. And I like kids. I often took my daughter and her entire crew to the Transit Museum and other museums for special programs, and they had a great time.

Once Sabathia took the mound, it was even more clear that he knew how to fit in. He wore a baggy uniform, his hat tipped slightly, his face unshaven. He looked for all the world like a casual working man, pitching for a pick-up team on a Saturday night. No tension. No worry. Just out there, pitching.

Now it appears that CC Sabathia is going to hang it up at season’s end. We hope he’ll add a second ring to his finger, to go with his 2009 ALCS MVP and 2007 Cy Young Award. I hope it will add up to a plaque at Cooperstown, preferably with the “NY” on the cap. It’s what he should get – he has been a tremendous pitcher.

It won’t be far from another former Yankee who’s up at the Hall, but does not have the “NY” on the cap, Randy Johnson. Johnson’s plaque shows the “A” of the Arizona Diamondbacks, and his Yankee tenure is a line-item on the plaque.

Johnson was a line-item for the Yankees, something more than a footnote, but less than a glittering star. But Sabathia was and is a star for the Yankees, a major power for the team on the field, a leader in the clubhouse, and a community activist off the field.

And the reason was very simple. Randy Johnson didn’t “get it.” CC Sabathia “got it.”

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Comparing the Yankees and Red Sox 17-2 Streaks



The 2018 Major League Baseball season has been nothing short of amazing in my opinion, and not just as a fan of the New York Yankees. We have seen shutouts, no-hitters, come-from-behind victories, dominating pitching performances, hitters putting on clinics and a pair of runs that saw teams go 17-2 over a span of 19 games. The Boston Red Sox did it first to open the 2018 season, but did the Yankees do it better? Let’s compare and borrow a tweet from our good friend Jared Carrabis, because truth be told not all his tweets are ridiculous after all.





Stats are all fine and good, but who did the Red Sox beat during their span and who did the Yankees beat up on during their span? Because while parity may be a dream of MLB executives and Commissioner Rob Manfred, a reality it is not. There is a huge difference between going 17-2 over teams like the Baltimore Orioles who are on pace to lose well over 100 games and going 17-2 against potential playoff and first place teams.



NEW YORK YANKEES: 

During the Yankees streak the team from the Bronx beat up on teams like the Toronto Blue Jays (2nd in the division at the time), the Minnesota Twins (2nd in their division at the time), the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (first in their division at the time), the Houston Astros (first in their division at the time), the Cleveland Indians (first in their division at the time) and the Boston Red Sox (first in their division at the time). Meanwhile the Boston Red Sox did their bidding against the rebuilding Tampa Bay Rays twice (6-1 overall), the Miami Marlins (LOL), the New York Yankees (taking two of three), the Baltimore Orioles (who were on pace to lose 134 games this season as the week began), the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and one game with the Oakland Athletics.


Jared Carrabis and Red Sox fans can point out all the stats they want to as they cherry pick to make themselves look good, but the bottom line is the New York Yankees did it better. Period, and there isn’t any argument to be had about it. Strength of schedule is a thing in MLB whether anyone wants to recognize it or not.

All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference. Kudos to both teams, whether the Yankees or Red Sox did it “better” or not is irrelevant, winning 17 games out of 19 games is impressive nonetheless. Even if it was done by the damn Red Sox.

Enjoy your Saturday everyone. Go Yankees!!